Polymarket Trader

mmonarchy

0x403f7e5cf3527df5e37f4b2291cf5f062e2f18c3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $2.2K
Win rate: 75%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 16
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.33K
Potential profit: $1.33K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $135,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $909.09
Potential profit: $909.09
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $390
Potential profit: $390
User PnL: -$27

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 12PM ET

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $262.02
Potential profit: $262.02
User PnL: -$146.73

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 17, 6PM ET

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $151.47
Potential profit: $151.47
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $148.15
Potential profit: $148.15
User PnL: -$4

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 17, 3PM ET

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $114.72
Potential profit: $114.72
User PnL: -$22

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 10, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 6AM ET

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.81
Potential profit: $46.81
User PnL: -$22.17

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 17, 12PM ET

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.25
Potential profit: $46.25
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 6AM ET

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27
Potential profit: $27
User PnL: -$2.16

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.13K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 10AM ET

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $157.48

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 9AM ET

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.11

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 8AM ET

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.51

Yes position

Lighter Airdrop on December 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.73

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 7AM ET

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $31.94

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 17, 2PM ET

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.52

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 5AM ET

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.19

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 17, 5PM ET

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.2

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 17, 1PM ET

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.32

No position

Lighter Airdrop on December 29?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.22

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 17, 4PM ET

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.78

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 17, 2PM ET

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$49.25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 11AM ET

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$105.27

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$193.01

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Yes 92.4% 2,413.5 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Yes 4% 2,413.5 shares
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

No 31.3% 933.46 shares
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

No 36.6% 933.46 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Yes 0.4% 6,746.33 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Yes 0.7% 2,857.14 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Yes 3.6% 1,389.19 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Yes 6% 2,500 shares
US strikes Iran by February 10, 2026?

Yes 5% 80 shares
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?

Yes 2.7% 148.15 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 6AM ET

Up 8% 27 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - January 17, 6PM ET

Down 4.4% 114.38 shares