No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$5
Polymarket Trader
Vital-Mathematics
0x4044798f1d60d92369c86cf5b6f1e497e2818de5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $122.1
- Realized PnL
- $57.94K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.09K
- Potential profit
- $2.09K
- User PnL
- -$280.99
No position
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 8?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.32K
- Potential profit
- $1.32K
- User PnL
- -$474.21
Yes position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$120
Yes position
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $774
- Potential profit
- $774
- User PnL
- -$18.52
Yes position
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $87
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $513
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$120
Yes position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $17
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $183
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$15
No position
Will Iran strike Jordan in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $189.93
- Potential profit
- $189.93
- User PnL
- -$66.48
No position
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $18.1
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $1.9
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will Trump endorse Susan Collins for ME-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $14
- User PnL
- -$4.9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.8K
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.29K
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.52K
Yes position
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?
Ends Dec 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.06K
Yes position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.89K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.63K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.16K
Yes position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.12K
No position
Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.43K
Yes position
Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on January 6, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01K
No position
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $964.35
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $940.96
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 26?
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $892.29
Yes position
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 9?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $761.73
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $632.57
Yes position
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $618.7
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $611.98
No position
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $611.79
Yes position
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $587.13
US position
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $585.48
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $524.68
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $470.15
No position
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 15)
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $430.86
No position
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $400
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes 0.1% 2,125 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes 8% 625 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes 22% 200.01 shares
- Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?No 99.8% 154.4 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?No 57% 99.99 shares
- Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?Yes 2.4% 774 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?No 0.1% 5,000 shares
- Will "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?No 99.2% 21 shares
- US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?No 99.4% 18,246.77 shares
- US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?No 78% 20.79 shares
- US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?No 80.8% 68.84 shares
- US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?No 80.8% 104 shares