Polymarket Trader

0x4049f652fE11f5F9092a532f239894b512724db4-1779880903805

0x4049f652fe11f5f9092a532f239894b512724db4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.16K
Realized PnL: $269.12
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 2
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.11K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $94.44
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.02K
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$5.55

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $344.7
Potential payout: $757.58
Potential profit: $412.88
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: -$155.3

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $275.62
Potential payout: $633.61
Potential profit: $357.99
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$24.38

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $113.89
Potential payout: $617.28
Potential profit: $503.4
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $13.89

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $84.26
Potential payout: $617.28
Potential profit: $533.02
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$15.74

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $14.65
Potential payout: $576.92
Potential profit: $562.27
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: -$0.35

Yes position

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $105.46
Potential payout: $370.16
Potential profit: $264.7
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: $5.46

Yes position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 9.7%
Current value: $29.24
Potential payout: $303.03
Potential profit: $273.79
Multiplier: 10.36x
User PnL: $9.24

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $213.9
Potential profit: $213.9
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $88.78
Potential payout: $204.08
Potential profit: $115.31
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$11.22

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $156.94
Potential profit: $156.94
User PnL: -$73.76

No position

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $87.88
Potential profit: $87.88
User PnL: -$29

Something position

Nothing Ever Happens: June

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $4.63
Potential payout: $84.17
Potential profit: $79.54
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$5.37

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $194.12

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Spurs vs. Knicks

Spurs 47% 156.94 shares
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Yes 27% 370.16 shares
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Yes 9% 1,111.11 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.2% 617.28 shares
Nothing Ever Happens: June

Something 11.9% 84.17 shares
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 6.6% 303.03 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.2% 617.28 shares
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.9% 1,111.11 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.6% 576.92 shares
Knicks vs. Spurs

Knicks 34% 294.12 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 66% 757.58 shares
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?

No 33% 87.88 shares