Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $91.53
- Potential payout
- $101.14
- Potential profit
- $9.61
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $2.53
Polymarket Trader
Armstrog
@cFikTdaFoBfwMFT
0x404a05d8cce8745b74b7d8d3fa54f4a4419e5927
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $104.52
- Realized PnL
- $85.89
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.75
- Potential profit
- $22.75
- User PnL
- -$21
Yes position
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.01
- Potential profit
- $21.01
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $12.99
- Potential payout
- $13.44
- Potential profit
- $0.45
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.75
- Potential profit
- $9.75
- User PnL
- -$1.37
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.67
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.31
Yes position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.18
No position
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.75
Yes position
Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.07
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.03
Yes position
Will Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.5
Yes position
Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.78
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.78
No position
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.46
Celtics position
Celtics vs. Warriors
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.31
DN Freecs position
LoL: DN Freecs vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.97
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.68
Yes position
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.61
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18
No position
US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09
No position
Will Praggnanandhaa R win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06
Yes position
Will the Toronto Raptors make the NBA Playoffs?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 8?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
No position
EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.84
No position
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
Yes position
Will Russia enter Ternuvate by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Yes position
Will Andy Barr be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 96.7% 13.44 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 3:35AM-3:40AM ETUp 14% 9.75 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 88% 101.14 shares
- Will Jalen Carter be traded?No 95% 75.84 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 87.4% 32.03 shares
- Will Jalen Carter be traded?No 98.9% 75.84 shares
- Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 98.3% 10.28 shares
- Will Andy Barr be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?Yes 97.2% 17.49 shares
- Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?Yes 95.2% 21.01 shares
- Will Trump visit China by June 30?Yes 94% 15.96 shares
- Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?Yes 36.2% 22.59 shares
- Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?Yes 97.4% 62.61 shares