Polymarket Trader

0x4058...8c40

0x405861680cbaac49ccafece623845aacfd3e8c40

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $10.52
Win rate: 79.2%
Open positions: 1
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Latest Resolved Positions

No open position details returned

This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.

Yes position

U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.7

80k position

Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.75

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on February 2?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.24

No position

Grok 4.20 released by January 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.95

No position

Will all of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.8

Yes position

Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.58

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.7

80k position

Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.75

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on February 2?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.24

No position

Grok 4.20 released by January 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.95

No position

Will all of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.8

Yes position

Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.58

Yes position

Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

No position

US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.38

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.29

No position

Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

No position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.16

No position

US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Will Pam Bondi be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 90.6%
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 92.3%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 92.3%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Yes 97.4% 5 shares
Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?

No 76% 5 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

No 96.2% 6 shares
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?

US 49.4% 7 shares
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

No 78.3% 7.3 shares
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

No 77% 7.3 shares
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?

No 63.8% 7.1 shares
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?

US 59% 7.7 shares
Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?

No 77% 5 shares
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

No 75.9% 8.6 shares
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

No 92% 7 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

No 84% 6.6 shares