Polymarket Trader

Saffroncrypto

@saffroncrypto1

0x40592c5edac6476672049d5e593fcb59084d3371

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.37K
Realized PnL: $6.1K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 31%
Current value: $1.77K
Potential payout: $5.71K
Potential profit: $3.94K
Multiplier: 3.23x
User PnL: -$1.43K

Yes position

Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $1.27K
Potential payout: $3.9K
Potential profit: $2.63K
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: $643.5

Yes position

Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $1.33K
Potential payout: $2.86K
Potential profit: $1.53K
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $728.54

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.3
Potential profit: $30.3
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.01K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $752.7

Over position

Penn Quakers vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 153.5

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $727.99

No position

Seeker FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $476.17

No position

Over $30M committed to the Gensyn public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $463.41

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $441.76

Yes position

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $206.06

No position

Will Seguro win Portugal's Overseas Vote?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.49

Seahawks position

Seahawks vs. Patriots

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.06

No position

Will PH win the second most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.33

No position

Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.95

ALTERNATE aTTaX position

Valorant: Dortmund eSports vs ALTERNATE aTTaX (BO3) - VCL DACH: Evolution Group Stage

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.91

No position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.04

Yes position

Will Powell say "Shutdown" or "Shut down" during December press conference?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.11

No position

Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be between $4.6B and $5.0B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.26

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $52.27

No position

Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45

No position

Maduro trial scheduled by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43

No position

Will there be 8-10 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39

Under position

Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 147.5

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $34.42

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 29?

Ends Dec 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.55

Yes position

Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 20% in February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.53

Over position

Texas A&M Aggies vs. Houston Cougars: O/U 142.5

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26

Thunder position

Spread: Thunder (-7.5)

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Spread: Thunder (-7.5)

Thunder 50% 1,199.99 shares
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5

Over 46% 1,999.98 shares
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?

No 48% 4,705 shares
Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 221.5

Under 49% 2,000 shares
Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 214.5

Under 49% 1,752.39 shares
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 207.5

Under 46% 1,299.99 shares
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)

Lakers 47% 2,200 shares
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 221.5

Over 47% 1,499.98 shares
Valorant: Dortmund eSports vs ALTERNATE aTTaX (BO3) - VCL DACH: Evolution Group Stage

ALTERNATE aTTaX 21.2% 187.15 shares
Valorant: Dortmund eSports vs ALTERNATE aTTaX (BO3) - VCL DACH: Evolution Group Stage

ALTERNATE aTTaX 24.6% 110.3 shares
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-07?

Yes 21% 2,000 shares
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 151.5

Over 53% 60.01 shares