Polymarket Trader

kjaskdaskdadsd

0x405b345a0d76d362e9c81f1462d46b01290e755c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $5.37K
Realized PnL: $978.12
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.3%
Current value: $1.35K
Potential payout: $1.43K
Potential profit: $81.69
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $90.61

No position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.4%
Current value: $1.03K
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $73.15
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $18.25

Yes position

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $300.19
Potential payout: $379.99
Potential profit: $79.8
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $52

No position

Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $274.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $25.5
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$5.5

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $256.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $43.5
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $4.5

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $255.7
Potential payout: $256.34
Potential profit: $0.64
User PnL: $34.15

No position

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $214.18
Potential payout: $250.5
Potential profit: $36.32
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $1.52

No position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 85.4%
Current value: $170.7
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $29.3
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$12.1

No position

Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 93.6%
Current value: $187.2
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $12.8
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $1.2

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $181
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $19
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $29
Potential payout: $199.98
Potential profit: $170.98
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$81.99

No position

Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 88.3%
Current value: $132.38
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $17.63
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: -$2.63

No position

Will Uzbekistan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $147.45
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $2.55
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1.95

No position

Will USD/JPY hit 200 (High) in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.8%
Current value: $109.01
Potential payout: $118.75
Potential profit: $9.74
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$0.84

No position

Will the Bank of Korea cut by 50 bps or more at the August 2026 meeting?

Ends Aug 26, 2026

Implied probability: 96.5%
Current value: $101.46
Potential payout: $105.14
Potential profit: $3.68
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $1.53

No position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $100.59
Potential payout: $100.74
Potential profit: $0.15
User PnL: $5.67

No position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $100.03
Potential payout: $100.28
Potential profit: $0.25
User PnL: $6.77

No position

Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $96.09
Potential payout: $100.09
Potential profit: $4
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $10.01

No position

Will USD/JPY hit 110 (Low) in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.8%
Current value: $76.01
Potential payout: $90.71
Potential profit: $14.7
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: -$6.17

No position

Will USD/JPY hit 120 (Low) in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $64.17
Potential payout: $73.33
Potential profit: $9.17
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $1.83

No position

Will Jacob deGrom win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?

Ends Nov 12, 2026

Implied probability: 95.8%
Current value: $57.45
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $2.55
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $4.35

No position

Will Shohei Ohtani lead the MLB in runs for the 2026 regular season?

Ends Sep 28, 2026

Implied probability: 76%
Current value: $44.7
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $14.12
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $0.96

No position

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $49.76
Potential payout: $51.86
Potential profit: $2.1
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $1.35

No position

Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $42.23
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $7.77
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$0.57

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $168

No position

Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.3

Yes position

No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.09

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.4

No position

Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $51.99

No position

Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.1

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.34

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43

No position

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.51

No position

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36

No position

Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded this season?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.8

Yes position

Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.89

Yes position

Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.69

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 10?

Ends Nov 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.6

No position

100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.2

No position

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26

No position

Will Ja Morant be traded in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.13

Yes position

Will Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.78

Yes position

Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24

Yes position

Will OpenAI’s GPT 5 lose the NOF1.ai competition?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.94

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.85

No position

Will there be another US government shutdown by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.5

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 10.5 Total Corners

Under 69% 5.04 shares
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 92% 5.88 shares
Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 10.5 Total Corners

Under 60% 5.06 shares
Scott McTominay: 1+ shots

Yes 78% 5.03 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?

No 17.1% 50 shares
Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 28% 14.99 shares
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: Korea Republic O/U 1.5

Over 53% 10.14 shares
Will the Bank of Korea cut by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?

No 87.7% 40.24 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?

No 58.9% 50 shares
Luis Díaz: 2+ shots

Yes 76% 10.07 shares
Will Ebuka Okorie be drafted in the top 10 of the 2026 NBA Draft?

No 94.6% 10.01 shares
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 68% 10.09 shares