Polymarket Trader

rubenito

0x405d101990061ace64f03847378ee0e07919025e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $464.4
Realized PnL: $13.29K
Win rate: 60%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 20
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $295
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.71K
Multiplier: 33.90x
User PnL: -$605

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.6K
Potential profit: $9.6K
User PnL: -$500

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.84K
Potential profit: $3.84K
User PnL: -$250

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.1%
Current value: $169.4
Potential payout: $2.8K
Potential profit: $2.63K
Multiplier: 16.53x
User PnL: -$115.5

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.6K
Potential profit: $2.6K
User PnL: -$850.98

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.49K
Potential profit: $2.49K
User PnL: -$65

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.48K
Potential profit: $2.48K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.38K
Potential profit: $1.38K
User PnL: -$222.2

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $488.89
Potential profit: $488.89
User PnL: -$88

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.95
Potential profit: $11.95
User PnL: -$3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.33K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.62K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.2K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.19K

Yes position

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $780

No position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $738.81

Yes position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $707.52

Yes position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $283.55

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $239.2

No position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $167.5

Joao Fonseca position

Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96

Yes position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78.2%
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: $3.86

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$23.71

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$25.2

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.1%
Multiplier: 14.18x
User PnL: -$25.2

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$57.14

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$85.09

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$182.62

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$224.13

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$452.27

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.4% 1,800 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 7.8% 900 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?

Yes 15% 400 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?

Yes 56.2% 1,000 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11.3% 1,900 shares
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?

Yes 9% 40 shares
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?

Yes 48% 248 shares
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?

Yes 45% 5 shares
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic

Joao Fonseca 52% 134 shares
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

No 12% 833.33 shares
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?

No 4.2% 626 shares
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?

No 8% 626 shares