Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.8%
- Current value
- $1.11
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $13.18
- Multiplier
- 12.90x
- User PnL
- $0.11
Polymarket Trader
Nozomi-936
0x406ad7dbe1d3e0a0f5c84ac3ca271819f91c9815
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $19.23
- Realized PnL
- $36.66
- Win rate
- 53.8%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.6%
- Current value
- $1.98
- Potential payout
- $9.17
- Potential profit
- $7.2
- Multiplier
- 4.64x
- User PnL
- $0.98
No position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $6.78
- Potential payout
- $7.58
- Potential profit
- $0.8
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $1.78
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.3%
- Current value
- $0.77
- Potential payout
- $7.52
- Potential profit
- $6.75
- Multiplier
- 9.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.3%
- Current value
- $0.85
- Potential payout
- $6.45
- Potential profit
- $5.6
- Multiplier
- 7.55x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $4.67
- Potential payout
- $5.95
- Potential profit
- $1.28
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$0.33
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.86
- Potential profit
- $3.86
- User PnL
- -$1.97
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $2.01
- Potential payout
- $2.17
- Potential profit
- $0.16
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.79
- Potential profit
- $1.79
- User PnL
- -$0.98
No position
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.7%
- Current value
- $1.05
- Potential payout
- $1.16
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
T1 position
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)
Ends Nov 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.59
No position
Will Trump say "Kamala" in his speech after the election is called?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.41
No position
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.46
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.95
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.72
Yes position
Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?
Ends Dec 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Pennsylvania be the closest state?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
South Korean President impeached in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Kamala Harris wins a solid red state?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No 86.1% 1.16 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No 92% 2.17 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ETDown 55% 1.79 shares
- Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?Yes 84% 5.95 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 7% 14.29 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 10.9% 9.17 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 13.3% 7.52 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 15.5% 6.45 shares
- US recession by end of 2026?No 66% 7.58 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:35AM-4:40AM ETDown 51% 3.86 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ETDown 58% 1.7 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ETUp 49% 2.01 shares