Polymarket Trader

tosde

0x4075633761a097a060b63cd96cc00cafcc0acd19

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $51.28
Realized PnL: $38.15
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 89.7%
Current value: $13.46
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $1.55
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $0.35

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 18°C or below on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $14.96
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$0.87

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $14.08
Potential profit: $14.03
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$1.23

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $14.08
Potential profit: $14.07
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$1.27

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $2.25
Potential payout: $14.08
Potential profit: $11.83
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: $0.97

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $14.08
Potential profit: $14.05
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$1.25

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $14.08
Potential profit: $14.06
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.26

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C or below on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $14.08
Potential profit: $14.06
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.26

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $0.7
Potential payout: $14.08
Potential profit: $13.38
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: -$0.58

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $7.04
Potential payout: $10.91
Potential profit: $3.87
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.98
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $1.05
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $8.95
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: $0.14

No position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 95.8%
Current value: $9.58
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.42
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $0.31
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.7
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $2.45
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $7.55
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: $1.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $0.11
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.9
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$0.8

No position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $6.95
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $3.05
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C or below on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.98
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C or below on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.98
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 41°C or higher on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.98
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$0.89

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.26
Multiplier: 13.42x
User PnL: -$0.16

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 54%
Current value: $5.4
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $4.6
Multiplier: 1.85x
User PnL: $4.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $0.55
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.45
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$0.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $0.42
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.58
Multiplier: 23.81x
User PnL: -$0.49

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $5.57

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: $4.09

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $3.39

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $2.89

No position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 61%
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: $2.75

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 40%
Multiplier: 2.50x
User PnL: $2.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Multiplier: 41.67x
User PnL: $2.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $2.04

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $2.04

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $1.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: $1.67

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $1.51

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $1.44

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $1.05

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 60%
Multiplier: 1.67x
User PnL: $1.02

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 77%
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: $0.86

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $0.7

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $0.35

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 91%
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 87.2%
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $0.19

No position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 89%
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 95.2%
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.05

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

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