Polymarket Trader

onlywinYY

0x407910fd97c4f85179579e5d6c6196f1a1d27126

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.7K
Realized PnL: $4.44K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $82.5
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $14.92K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$77.48

Yes position

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.75K
Potential profit: $9.75K
User PnL: -$113.79

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $101.5
Potential payout: $7K
Potential profit: $6.9K
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$29.8

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $178.75
Potential payout: $6.5K
Potential profit: $6.32K
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: $55.25

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $627.3
Potential payout: $3.4K
Potential profit: $2.77K
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $79.9

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $80.34
Potential payout: $3.28K
Potential profit: $3.2K
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$1.64

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $409.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.59K
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$73.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.48K
Potential profit: $1.48K
User PnL: -$12.92

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$204

Yes position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $25.53
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.08K
Multiplier: 43.48x
User PnL: -$1.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.11K
User PnL: -$11.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.1K
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $860
Potential profit: $860
User PnL: -$2.58

OpenAI position

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $178.73
Potential payout: $674.47
Potential profit: $495.73
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$7.07

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $600
User PnL: -$102

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $576.93
Potential profit: $576.93
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $540
Potential profit: $540
User PnL: -$5.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $526.33
Potential profit: $526.33
User PnL: -$163.38

No position

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$22.95

Yes position

Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $444.44
Potential profit: $444.44
User PnL: -$4

Guangdong Southern Tigers position

Beijing Ducks vs. Guangdong Southern Tigers

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $440
Potential profit: $440
User PnL: -$93.72

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 20?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $437.87
Potential profit: $437.87
User PnL: -$33.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $430
Potential profit: $430
User PnL: -$55.9

Yes position

Will Japan reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $20.2
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $379.8
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: -$1.8

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.17K

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $572.01

Shanghai Sharks position

Beijing Ducks vs. Shanghai Sharks

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $211.69

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $192

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $143.29

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $129

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $114.64

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by May 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on April 10?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.22

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $76.33

No position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $76.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.86

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.17

Nothing position

Nothing Ever Happens: May

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.26

Zhejiang Lions position

Zhejiang Lions vs. Shenzhen Leopards

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.13

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.8

No position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $39

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39

No position

Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.87

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.52

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.9

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C or higher on March 24?

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.61

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?

No 47% 212.77 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET

Up 91% 27.47 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET

Up 90% 5.56 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET

Up 85% 5.88 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET

Up 76% 6.58 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET

Up 73% 6.85 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET

Up 96% 5.21 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET

Up 63% 39.68 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET

Up 83% 6.02 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET

Up 92% 5.43 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET

Up 88% 5.68 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET

Up 83% 30.12 shares