Yes position
Will Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.08K
- Potential profit
- $2.08K
- User PnL
- -$4.15
Polymarket Trader
bainianla
0x407bbc1a8c22977411b04f1eb172f4a5d2191dbd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $416.66
- Realized PnL
- $281.95
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will HNP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $932.19
- Potential profit
- $932.19
- User PnL
- -$0.93
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $699.87
- Potential profit
- $699.87
- User PnL
- -$4.53
Y
Yes position
Will Micah Lasher win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by less than 5%?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $126.46
- Potential payout
- $495.91
- Potential profit
- $369.45
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$2.48
Yes position
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.2%
- Current value
- $94.1
- Potential payout
- $283.44
- Potential profit
- $189.34
- Multiplier
- 3.01x
- User PnL
- -$1.42
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $43.78
- Potential payout
- $236.63
- Potential profit
- $192.85
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- $1.55
No position
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $65.68
- Potential payout
- $71
- Potential profit
- $5.33
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.25
Yes position
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 49%
- Current value
- $24.99
- Potential payout
- $51
- Potential profit
- $26.01
- Multiplier
- 2.04x
- User PnL
- $0.51
No position
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Current value
- $47.38
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $2.63
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.2%
- Current value
- $14.29
- Potential payout
- $15.34
- Potential profit
- $1.05
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $84.93
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $48.94
N
No position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $27.58
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $27.46
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.07
No position
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.95
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.24
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.8
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $6
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.4
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $5.25
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.81
No position
Fed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.6
No position
Will Ethereum hit $8,000.00 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1
Yes position
Will Dyson Daniels win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.07
Yes position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.74
No position
Will Elon tweet less than 250 times Dec 27-Jan 3?
Ends Jan 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.69
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by January 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after March 2025 meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Micah Lasher win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by less than 5%?Yes 26% 525.91 shares
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?Yes 33.7% 295 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?No 27.2% 520 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 29% 200 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?Yes 8% 69.99 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?No 19% 130 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?No 18% 134 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?No 23% 5 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?No 29% 100 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 32% 200 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 31% 200 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?Yes 13% 340 shares