Yes position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 59%
- Current value
- $6.16K
- Potential payout
- $10.45K
- Potential profit
- $4.28K
- Multiplier
- 1.69x
- User PnL
- $4.01K
Polymarket Trader
howesr1970
0x4097b449b30f8bcf9834ea1e976f235f689c88f2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.76K
- Realized PnL
- -$101.31
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Current value
- $92.95
- Potential payout
- $2.45K
- Potential profit
- $2.35K
- Multiplier
- 26.32x
- User PnL
- $30.75
Yes position
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- User PnL
- -$5.79
No position
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $392.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $107.5
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $232.5
Yes position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $42
- Potential payout
- $399.99
- Potential profit
- $358
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $30.7
Yes position
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.15
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $299.85
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$10.85
Yes position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.3%
- Current value
- $16.5
- Potential payout
- $199.99
- Potential profit
- $183.49
- Multiplier
- 12.12x
- User PnL
- -$43.5
Yes position
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates hit 2.5% or lower in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Current value
- $3.09
- Potential payout
- $38.88
- Potential profit
- $35.79
- Multiplier
- 12.58x
- User PnL
- -$2.32
Yes position
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $34.02
- Potential payout
- $38.44
- Potential profit
- $4.42
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $6.1
No position
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.18
- Potential profit
- $38.18
- User PnL
- -$2.18
Yes position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.8%
- Current value
- $11.98
- Potential payout
- $33.5
- Potential profit
- $21.52
- Multiplier
- 2.80x
- User PnL
- $9.3
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,600 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$5.4
No position
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.24
- Potential profit
- $2.24
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $161.07
No position
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$262.37
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes 15% 1,100 shares
- Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?Yes 4.7% 200 shares
- Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?Yes 3.7% 30.13 shares
- Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?Yes 3.2% 185.57 shares
- Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?Yes 3.1% 60.52 shares
- Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?Yes 2.8% 48.28 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes 22% 570.73 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes 21.1% 474.95 shares
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes 25% 306.5 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 27.3% 3,763.59 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes 21% 2,000 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes 20% 42 shares