Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $80.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $19.5
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $6.5
Polymarket Trader
2oxa
0x4098823d549df28b81d5f8cee209e90c5fdf403c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $156.1
- Realized PnL
- $384.3
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $30.9
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $29.1
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $44.7
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $15.3
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- -$5.7
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Deere Q2 revenue be above $12.5B?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.6
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $115K and $117K on August 6?
Ends Aug 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.5
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $105K in August?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $23.89
Yes position
Will Bernie say "Revolution" or "Revolutionary" in Maine?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.1
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $109K on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.7
No position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $18.53
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.3
Yes position
Bitcoin above $105,000 on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.67
Yes position
Bitcoin all time high by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.44
Dplus KIA position
LoL: Dplus KIA vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.5
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down on August 12?
Ends Aug 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.34
100k position
Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.55
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3600 and $3700 on August 6?
Ends Aug 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.9
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3700 and $3800 on July 22 at 5PM ET?
Ends Jul 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.9
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.15
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.18
Yes position
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $107K and $109K on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.35
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86000 and $88000 on Mar 28?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.34
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2700 and $2800 on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.46
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $118K and $120K on August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3
Hanwha Life Esports position
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
Will Aston Villa win the UEFA Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?
Ends Jan 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.91
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 54% 60 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or below on June 23?Yes 90.6% 20 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 74% 100 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 23?No 90.9% 50 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 23?No 94.8% 81 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 84% 60 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No 91% 100 shares
- Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 7% 12 shares
- Will Iñaki Williams score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 65% 117.85 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by July 31, 2026?Yes 90% 110 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?Yes 72.8% 69.07 shares
- Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes 6% 120 shares