Polymarket Trader

Aretarn

0x409c960a774d9f1347bcb065e3aa776747a89ac8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $73.25
Realized PnL: $1.3K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $73.25
Potential payout: $29.3K
Potential profit: $29.23K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$77.23

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.51K
Potential profit: $2.51K
User PnL: -$23.86

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.7K
Potential profit: $1.7K
User PnL: -$10.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $1.67K
User PnL: -$10.02

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.47K
Potential profit: $1.47K
User PnL: -$8.82

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$20.12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.16K
Potential profit: $1.16K
User PnL: -$26.32

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.11K
User PnL: -$19.94

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $1.03K
User PnL: -$19.88

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $880
Potential profit: $880
User PnL: -$16.52

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $798.01
Potential profit: $798.01
User PnL: -$21.42

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $750
Potential profit: $750
User PnL: -$28.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $720
Potential profit: $720
User PnL: -$20.24

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $625
Potential profit: $625
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $606.52
Potential profit: $606.52
User PnL: -$4.85

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 18 to May 20, 2026?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $517.27
Potential profit: $517.27
User PnL: -$5.17

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$21.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $349.99
Potential profit: $349.99
User PnL: -$10.14

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $343.33
Potential profit: $343.33
User PnL: -$11.63

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $260
Potential profit: $260
User PnL: -$9.88

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $240
Potential profit: $240
User PnL: -$40.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $239.99
Potential profit: $239.99
User PnL: -$10.32

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $230
Potential profit: $230
User PnL: -$8.26

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $209.99
Potential profit: $209.99
User PnL: -$12.11

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $280.54

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $154.89

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.93

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.2

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.85

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.85

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.6

Yes position

Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.34

No position

Will RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.84

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.41

Yes position

Will Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.51

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.16

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.65

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $30.41

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.94

Lakers position

Lakers vs. Heat

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.12

No position

Greta Thunberg arrested by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.84

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.4

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.61

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.79

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $24.38

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.57

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 8% 190 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 9% 500 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Yes 5% 200 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 5.3% 974 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 2.1% 61.32 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 10.8% 464.55 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 78.5% 127.45 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Yes 1.5% 124.07 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 17% 240 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?

Yes 36% 100 shares
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 70% 28.57 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?

Yes 2.8% 297.05 shares