Yes position
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $344.77K
- Potential profit
- $344.77K
- User PnL
- -$344.77
Polymarket Trader
Protrad
0x409f5d76319a96a05d20ed9715bfa00f725e543a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $37.5
- Realized PnL
- $1.98K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $178.1K
- Potential profit
- $178.1K
- User PnL
- -$178.1
Yes position
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $175.42K
- Potential profit
- $175.42K
- User PnL
- -$175.42
Yes position
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150K
- Potential profit
- $150K
- User PnL
- -$150
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $149.89K
- Potential profit
- $149.89K
- User PnL
- -$149.89
Yes position
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $129.64K
- Potential profit
- $129.64K
- User PnL
- -$129.64
Yes position
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $119.11K
- Potential profit
- $119.11K
- User PnL
- -$119.11
Yes position
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $109.25K
- Potential profit
- $109.25K
- User PnL
- -$109.25
Yes position
Will Rudy Gobert win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $98.55K
- Potential profit
- $98.55K
- User PnL
- -$98.55
Yes position
Will Solana dip to $10 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $93.87K
- Potential profit
- $93.87K
- User PnL
- -$93.87
Yes position
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $91.85K
- Potential profit
- $91.85K
- User PnL
- -$91.85
Yes position
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $61.79K
- Potential profit
- $61.79K
- User PnL
- -$61.79
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get 110 million or more views on week 1?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60.8K
- Potential profit
- $60.8K
- User PnL
- -$60.8
Yes position
Will Roy Barreras win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54.74K
- Potential profit
- $54.74K
- User PnL
- -$54.74
Yes position
Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.99K
- Potential profit
- $52.99K
- User PnL
- -$52.99
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.44K
- Potential profit
- $49.44K
- User PnL
- -$49.44
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 100 and 110 million views on week 1?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.18K
- Potential profit
- $49.18K
- User PnL
- -$49.18
Yes position
Will Monaco win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $44.51K
- Potential profit
- $44.51K
- User PnL
- -$44.51
Yes position
Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40.84K
- Potential profit
- $40.84K
- User PnL
- -$40.84
Yes position
Will Mauricio Cárdenas win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40.8K
- Potential profit
- $40.8K
- User PnL
- -$40.8
Yes position
Will Claudia López win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40.47K
- Potential profit
- $40.47K
- User PnL
- -$40.47
Yes position
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40.09K
- Potential profit
- $40.09K
- User PnL
- -$40.09
Yes position
Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $18.75
- Potential payout
- $37.5K
- Potential profit
- $37.48K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$18.75
Yes position
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $18.75
- Potential payout
- $37.5K
- Potential profit
- $37.48K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$18.75
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $581.53
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $391.78
Yes position
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $185.05
No position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $102.06
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $75.39
Yes position
Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $74.12
Yes position
Will Juan Daniel Oviedo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $73.04
Yes position
Will FlyQuest win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $60.43
Yes position
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $58.77
Yes position
Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $41.84
Yes position
Will M80 win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $40.25
Yes position
Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $29.88
No position
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.42
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $28.72
No position
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.35
Yes position
Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $25.08
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- $21.72
Yes position
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21.02
Yes position
Will Beth Van Duyne win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20.98
Yes position
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20
Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.9
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.21
Yes position
Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $18.66
Yes position
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $18.17
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.1% 16,435.57 shares
- Will MIBR win IEM Cologne Major 2026?Yes 0.2% 11.99 shares
- Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 0.1% 2,338.96 shares
- Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?Yes 0.1% 13,527.31 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?Yes 0.1% 1,762.86 shares
- Will Alexander Isak be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?Yes 0.2% 500 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in April?Yes 0.1% 6,233 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in April?Yes 0.1% 3,100 shares
- Will Juan Daniel Oviedo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 0.2% 1,688 shares
- Will Juan Daniel Oviedo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 0.3% 810 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in April?Yes 0.1% 15,000 shares
- Will Alex Baena be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?Yes 1% 55 shares