Polymarket Trader

Fishsalad

0x40c9be0b9632ac409b34bb5b41a0dde5d952664d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $598.79
Realized PnL: $1.45K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Tulsi Gabbard out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.35K
Potential profit: $24.35K
User PnL: -$24.35

Yes position

Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $45.5
Potential payout: $7K
Potential profit: $6.95K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$10.5

Yes position

Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $39
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $5.96K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $51
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $5.95K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $25.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.97K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.29K
Potential profit: $2.29K
User PnL: -$102.16

Yes position

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $25
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.98K
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $42.8
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.96K
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: $12.8

Yes position

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $55
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.94K
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: $15

Yes position

Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.47K
Potential profit: $1.47K
User PnL: -$269.27

Yes position

Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $330.99
Potential profit: $330.99
User PnL: -$277.95

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $96.25
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $153.75
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: $31.25

Yes position

Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–$2.25 in June?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $218.75
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $31.25
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $3.75

Yes position

Will Rihanna have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $124.84
Potential profit: $124.84
User PnL: -$13.88

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $174.5

Yes position

Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $171.24

No position

Will Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $164.98

No position

Will Ketanji Brown Jackson attend the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125

No position

Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.50–2.75 in March?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $124.07

Yes position

Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.25–2.50 in April?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.33

Yes position

Will there be 18–20 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.05

Yes position

Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.7%
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: $90

No position

Will 60-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.75

Yes position

Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–$2.25 in May?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.51

No position

Will there be 12–14 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.6

No position

Will turnout in the first round of the Texas Republican Senate primary be between 2,200,000 and 2,400,000 voters?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.43

No position

Will there be 16–18 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.29

No position

Will there be 8–10 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.59

Yes position

Will Bruno Mars release 'The Romantic' before March?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23

No position

Will there be less than 8 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.94

No position

Will a dozen eggs cost between $1.75–2.00 in April?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.5

No position

Government shutdown on Saturday?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.4

Yes position

Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.9

Yes position

Will turnout in the first round of the Texas Democratic Senate primary be 2,000,000 voters or greater?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.92

No position

Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.66

No position

Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.62

No position

Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13

No position

US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.6

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Pamela Evette win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary by less than 5%?

Yes 98% 71.97 shares
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?

Yes 94% 200 shares
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?

Yes 3% 400 shares
Will Pamela Evette win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary by less than 5%?

Yes 90.8% 58.97 shares
Will Pamela Evette win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary by less than 5%?

Yes 83% 13 shares
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?

Yes 84% 330.99 shares
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 1-June 7?

Yes 0.3% 200 shares
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 1-June 7?

Yes 1.1% 56.9 shares
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–$2.25 in May?

Yes 51% 105.13 shares
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

No 98.9% 394.81 shares
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?

Yes 21.5% 678.68 shares
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.25–$2.50 in May?

No 45.1% 590.31 shares