No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $109.4
- Potential payout
- $72.94K
- Potential profit
- $72.83K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$36.47
Polymarket Trader
whig
0x40cfb29411d29f4fa0908f2a121297042cccd21d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $102.05K
- Realized PnL
- $109.8K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 33%
- Current value
- $16.08K
- Potential payout
- $48.74K
- Potential profit
- $32.65K
- Multiplier
- 3.03x
- User PnL
- $6.31K
Yes position
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $12.65K
- Potential payout
- $27.2K
- Potential profit
- $14.55K
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- $3.11K
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $24.25K
- Potential payout
- $24.64K
- Potential profit
- $381.86
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $3.92K
Yes position
Will John Healey be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $36
- Potential payout
- $24K
- Potential profit
- $23.96K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$12
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.3%
- Current value
- $2.12K
- Potential payout
- $15.96K
- Potential profit
- $13.84K
- Multiplier
- 7.52x
- User PnL
- -$438.94
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 7.3%
- Current value
- $802.69
- Potential payout
- $11.07K
- Potential profit
- $10.27K
- Multiplier
- 13.79x
- User PnL
- -$8.28
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $1.75K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $8.25K
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $7.44K
- Potential payout
- $8.8K
- Potential profit
- $1.36K
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $1K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $3.97K
- Potential payout
- $7.03K
- Potential profit
- $3.06K
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $1.06K
Yes position
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $283.08
- Potential payout
- $6.82K
- Potential profit
- $6.54K
- Multiplier
- 24.10x
- User PnL
- -$479.98
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.2%
- Current value
- $770.07
- Potential payout
- $6.31K
- Potential profit
- $5.54K
- Multiplier
- 8.20x
- User PnL
- -$638.65
No position
Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 62%
- Current value
- $3.73K
- Potential payout
- $6.02K
- Potential profit
- $2.29K
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- $798.35
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $2.55K
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $3.45K
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$209.98
Yes position
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.1%
- Current value
- $2.26K
- Potential payout
- $5.78K
- Potential profit
- $3.52K
- Multiplier
- 2.56x
- User PnL
- $1.24K
No position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $4.7K
- Potential payout
- $5.57K
- Potential profit
- $862.58
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $42.61
No position
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $4.18K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $825
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$75
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $2.41K
- Potential payout
- $4.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.09K
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $342.53
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.6%
- Current value
- $731.34
- Potential payout
- $3.94K
- Potential profit
- $3.21K
- Multiplier
- 5.39x
- User PnL
- $191.5
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $52.57
- Potential payout
- $3.89K
- Potential profit
- $3.84K
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$860.52
No position
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97%
- Current value
- $3.74K
- Potential payout
- $3.85K
- Potential profit
- $117.53
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $739.94
No position
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $3.71K
- Potential payout
- $3.75K
- Potential profit
- $39.32
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $373.86
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $1.14K
- Potential payout
- $3.22K
- Potential profit
- $2.08K
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- $30.57
Yes position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $2.59K
- Potential payout
- $3.22K
- Potential profit
- $628.22
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $757.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.65K
No position
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 48% and 50%?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.89K
No position
Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.69K
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.81K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.41K
No position
Will Trump talk to Mark Rutte in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.16K
No position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.87K
Yes position
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 50% and 52%?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.7K
No position
Will the DHS shutdown last 80 days or more?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.62K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.1K
Yes position
Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win between 120 and 134 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.05K
No position
Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win fewer than 120 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.84K
Yes position
Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.79K
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.79K
No position
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.76K
No position
Will the DHS shutdown last 90 days or more?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.71K
Yes position
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55K
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5K
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.5K
Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.47K
No position
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.41K
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $2.39K
Yes position
US strikes Iraq by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.19K
No position
Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.96K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.1% 48,623.6 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?Yes 12.6% 312.06 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 13.7% 3,942.52 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 39% 1,999.99 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 14.7% 0.7 shares
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 14% 215.71 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 18% 5,000 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 43% 534.18 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 18% 5,000 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 40% 4,000 shares
- Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 30% 105.01 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?Yes 29.9% 2,500 shares