Polymarket Trader

0x40dDA619A79804C8249E072540b54031d1aFe214-1760963411120

0x40dda619a79804c8249e072540b54031d1afe214

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $184.58
Realized PnL: $184.81
Win rate: 75%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 16
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.97K
Potential profit: $100.97K
User PnL: -$100.97

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61.32K
Potential profit: $61.32K
User PnL: -$479.88

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.71K
Potential profit: $60.71K
User PnL: -$402.86

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.16K
Potential profit: $52.16K
User PnL: -$114.28

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.99K
Potential profit: $32.99K
User PnL: -$105.93

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.83K
Potential profit: $20.83K
User PnL: -$75

No position

Fed rate cut by December 2025 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.12K
Potential profit: $18.12K
User PnL: -$296.66

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $184.58
Potential payout: $12.73K
Potential profit: $12.55K
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$191.98

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.7K
Potential profit: $12.7K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5K
Potential profit: $12.5K
User PnL: -$25

No position

Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.71K
Potential profit: $9.71K
User PnL: -$289.97

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.32K
Potential profit: $8.32K
User PnL: -$49.92

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.6K
Potential profit: $5.6K
User PnL: -$5.6

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.04K
Potential profit: $3.04K
User PnL: -$89.99

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.08K
Potential profit: $1.08K
User PnL: -$36.46

Yes position

Will Pope Leo visit another country first?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $516.08
Potential profit: $516.08
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$25

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $227.27
Potential profit: $227.27
User PnL: -$50

Team Liquid position

Valorant: Team Liquid vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.46
Potential profit: $199.46
User PnL: -$50

Paper Rex position

Valorant: NRG vs Paper Rex - Map 1 Winner

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110.12
Potential profit: $110.12
User PnL: -$15

BBL Esports position

Valorant: G2 Esports vs BBL Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffs

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.18
Potential profit: $90.18
User PnL: -$15

NRG position

Valorant: Paper Rex vs NRG - Map 1 Winner

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $85.55
Potential profit: $85.55
User PnL: -$33

Team Vitality position

Valorant: Paper Rex vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$10

NRG position

Valorant: NRG vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffs

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.11
Potential profit: $83.11
User PnL: -$20

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the government shutdown end November 12?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $35.6

BBL Esports position

Valorant: BBL Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffs

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $33.51

FUT Esports position

Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.77

NRG position

Valorant: NRG vs Team Liquid - Map 1 Winner

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.15

NRG position

Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winner

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $18.43

BBL Esports position

Valorant: Pcific Esports vs BBL Esports (BO3)

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.55

Leviatán Esports position

Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.74

NRG position

Valorant: BBL Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffs

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.18

Fnatic position

Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.12

Team Liquid position

Valorant: T1 vs Team Liquid - Map 2 Winner

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.91

NRG position

Valorant: Paper Rex vs NRG - Map 2 Winner

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.85

Paper Rex position

Valorant: Paper Rex vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stage

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.87

FUT Esports position

Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Team Vitality position

Valorant: Paper Rex vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Team Liquid position

Valorant: NRG vs Team Liquid - Map 1 Winner

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

NRG position

Valorant: Paper Rex vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stage

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$8.87

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 2.2% 490 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.3% 6,666.67 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 4% 3,020 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 2.9% 5,175.19 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.2% 5,490 shares
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner

FUT Esports 31% 32.26 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.3% 8,333.33 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.4% 6,250 shares
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner

Team Vitality 32% 46.88 shares
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner

Team Vitality 12% 83.33 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 2% 1,711.63 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.4% 6,250 shares