Polymarket Trader

aviuser

0x40de90aaf8e98bb7187b2320d5f14b75f4f766bd

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $633.25
Realized PnL: $423.98
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $529.55
Potential profit: $529.55
User PnL: -$480.55

Yes position

Will Trump not say any listed term during the 2026 State of the Union Address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $228.9
Potential profit: $228.9
User PnL: -$223.59

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$184

Yes position

Will CZ post 0-19 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $191
Potential profit: $191
User PnL: -$17.65

No position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $131.97
Potential payout: $137.54
Potential profit: $5.57
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $3.13

Yes position

Will CZ post 0-19 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $135.87
Potential profit: $135.87
User PnL: -$34.17

No position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $110.39
Potential payout: $116.81
Potential profit: $6.42
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.82

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $106
Potential profit: $106
User PnL: -$97.52

No position

Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $103.56
Potential payout: $106
Potential profit: $2.44
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$1.12

No position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $104.69
Potential payout: $105
Potential profit: $0.31
User PnL: $0.73

Yes position

Will CZ post 20-39 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$97.3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $99.35
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $0.65
User PnL: $1.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$0.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.96
Potential profit: $99.96
User PnL: -$1.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.98
Potential profit: $62.98
User PnL: -$0.17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.51
Potential profit: $60.51
User PnL: -$1.39

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $49.55
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $0.45
User PnL: $0.9

No position

Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$48

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.6
Potential profit: $39.6
User PnL: -$1.84

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.6
Potential profit: $39.6
User PnL: -$6.6

Yes position

Will NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.78
Potential profit: $35.78
User PnL: -$0.67

No position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $33.75
Potential payout: $34.94
Potential profit: $1.19
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.21

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will CZ post 20-39 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80

Yes position

Will CZ post 20-39 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.77

Yes position

Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.95

Yes position

Will CZ post 0-19 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.7

Yes position

Will CZ post 0-19 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.86

No position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C or higher on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

Yes position

Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.41

No position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on May 20?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.85

Yes position

Will CZ post 0-19 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.28

Yes position

Will CZ post 0-19 posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.85

No position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C or higher on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.35

No position

Will CZ post 40-59 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.57

Yes position

Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.59

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C or higher on May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.33

Yes position

Will CZ post 0-19 posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.33

FC Barcelona position

Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-2.5)

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.27

No position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.26

No position

Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.67

No position

Will CZ post 40-59 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.64

Real Madrid CF position

Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.6

No position

Will NYC Mayor post 60-79 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.06

Real Madrid CF position

Spread: Real Oviedo (-1.5)

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C or higher on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.83

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.81

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Zeki Amdouni: 2+ assists

No 98% 9.69 shares
Johan Manzambi: 2+ assists

No 98% 25 shares
Noah Okafor: 2+ assists

No 98% 9.69 shares
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 34°C or higher on June 20?

No 94.4% 12 shares
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 34°C or higher on June 20?

No 93% 4.43 shares
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

No 98.9% 91 shares
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

No 97.9% 15 shares
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on June 20?

No 95% 30 shares
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on June 20?

No 94% 33.64 shares
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on June 20?

No 93% 37.87 shares
Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

No 98% 100 shares
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 37°C or higher on June 19?

No 99.8% 50 shares