Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.33K
- Potential profit
- $3.33K
- User PnL
- -$13.31
Polymarket Trader
0x40e5...f7ec
0x40e5e171884f1c2a6e3021dfa9e297d268a1f7ec
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $138.91
- Realized PnL
- $3.42K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 21
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $1.49
- Potential payout
- $990
- Potential profit
- $988.52
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.49
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $90.99
- Potential payout
- $957.83
- Potential profit
- $866.84
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$5.01
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.6%
- Current value
- $46.43
- Potential payout
- $341.38
- Potential profit
- $294.95
- Multiplier
- 7.35x
- User PnL
- $36.53
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $211.21
- Potential profit
- $211.21
- User PnL
- -$56.26
Yes position
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $102.34
- Potential profit
- $102.34
- User PnL
- -$4.81
Spirit position
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.57
- Potential profit
- $99.57
- User PnL
- -$43.81
Yes position
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.46
- Potential profit
- $99.46
- User PnL
- -$53.71
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $86.34
- Potential profit
- $86.34
- User PnL
- -$17.29
Yes position
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80.33
- Potential profit
- $80.33
- User PnL
- -$9.64
Yes position
Will Panama win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $64.33
- Potential profit
- $64.33
- User PnL
- -$9.65
Yes position
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar end in a draw?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $56.76
- Potential profit
- $56.76
- User PnL
- -$9.65
Santiago Luna position
UFC Fight Night: Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna (Bantamweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50.75
- Potential profit
- $50.75
- User PnL
- -$24.36
Belal Muhammad position
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $48.76
- Potential profit
- $48.76
- User PnL
- -$24.38
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $46.08
- Potential profit
- $46.08
- User PnL
- -$1.84
Bruno Silva position
UFC Fight Night: Bruno Silva vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Prelims)
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.2
- Potential profit
- $45.2
- User PnL
- -$24.41
76ers position
76ers vs. Knicks
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45
- Potential profit
- $45
- User PnL
- -$9.9
Ariane Carnelossi position
UFC Fight Night: Ariane Carnelossi vs. Ketlen Souza (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37.23
- Potential profit
- $37.23
- User PnL
- -$9.68
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.77
- Potential profit
- $30.77
- User PnL
- -$1.85
Timberwolves position
Spurs vs. Timberwolves
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.4
- Potential profit
- $19.4
- User PnL
- -$6.79
Down position
Solana Up or Down - April 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.85
- Potential profit
- $16.85
- User PnL
- -$1.85
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27K
Nuggets position
Bucks vs. Nuggets
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $277.2
Nuggets position
Clippers vs. Nuggets
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $225.38
Nuggets position
Nuggets vs. Celtics
Ends Jan 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $202.09
Trail Blazers position
Rockets vs. Trail Blazers
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $191.81
Pistons position
Pistons vs. Warriors
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $181.17
Warriors position
Spurs vs. Warriors
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $106.72
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.89
76ers position
76ers vs. Knicks
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.25
Indiana position
Oregon vs. Indiana
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.06
Bulls position
Magic vs. Bulls
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.19
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $67.33
Grizzlies position
Spurs vs. Grizzlies
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63
Pacers position
Pacers vs. Hornets
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.66
Yes position
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.21
Yes position
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.03
Kansas Jayhawks position
Kansas Jayhawks vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.89
Bucks position
Bucks vs. Kings
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.33
Lakers position
Hawks vs. Lakers
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.96
Kings position
Rockets vs. Kings
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.15
Bulls position
Heat vs. Bulls
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $38.93
Pacers position
Heat vs. Pacers
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36
Bucks position
Bucks vs. Lakers
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.24
Nuggets position
Nuggets vs. Pelicans
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.75
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will United States win on 2026-06-25?Yes 54% 99.46 shares
- Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24?Yes 12% 80.33 shares
- Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar end in a draw?Yes 17% 56.76 shares
- Will Panama win on 2026-06-23?Yes 15% 64.33 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 0.3% 990 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 2.9% 341.38 shares
- Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?Yes 99.4% 88.5 shares
- Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?Yes 44% 88.5 shares
- Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?Yes 4.7% 102.34 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Yes 89% 191.97 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Yes 34% 57.09 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Yes 36% 134.89 shares