Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.12K
- Potential profit
- $1.12K
- User PnL
- -$270
Polymarket Trader
2TheMoon
0x40e8fed2c9bf7af0aa56ad33bee497e57530f71d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $152.19
- Realized PnL
- $27.16
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 18
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $471.2
- Potential profit
- $471.2
- User PnL
- -$11.78
Yes position
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 60%
- Current value
- $141
- Potential payout
- $235
- Potential profit
- $94
- Multiplier
- 1.67x
- User PnL
- $47
Yes position
Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $217.72
- Potential profit
- $217.72
- User PnL
- -$88.14
Yes position
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during North Carolina rally on Nov 3?
Ends Nov 3, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $204.12
- Potential profit
- $204.12
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Trump say "Vote" 25 or more times during North Carolina rally on Nov 3?
Ends Nov 3, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $118.49
- Potential profit
- $118.49
- User PnL
- -$57.79
No position
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $11.19
- Potential payout
- $58.9
- Potential profit
- $47.71
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- $0.19
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 18?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35
- Potential profit
- $35
- User PnL
- -$7
Suns position
Suns vs. Pistons
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.48
- Potential profit
- $34.48
- User PnL
- -$10
Grizzlies position
Grizzlies vs. Magic
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.3
- Potential profit
- $30.3
- User PnL
- -$10
Canucks position
Canucks vs. Blue Jackets
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.39
- Potential profit
- $24.39
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.18
Under position
Niagara Purple Eagles vs. Sacred Heart Pioneers: O/U 141.5
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.77
Miami position
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.7
Seahawks position
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.61
Patriots position
Patriots vs. Broncos
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.93
No position
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Yes position
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 28.6%
- Multiplier
- 3.50x
- User PnL
- -$0.34
49ers position
49ers vs. Seahawks
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.37
Indiana position
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.52
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.7
Yes position
Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.12
Yes position
Will Russia use a nuclear weapon before 2023?
Ends Dec 31, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 2485087.40x
- User PnL
- -$6.35
No position
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on December 1, 2022?
Ends Dec 1, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 4347843.82x
- User PnL
- -$6.64
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on January 17?
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$15.52
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Multiplier
- 25.64x
- User PnL
- -$33.83
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?Yes 40% 235 shares
- Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?Yes 3% 70.02 shares
- Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?Yes 49.4% 5.93 shares
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?No 78% 114.11 shares
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?No 80.4% 114.11 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes 5.4% 1,780.68 shares
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?No 18.7% 58.9 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 2.5% 471.2 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes 7.3% 1,780.68 shares
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of February?Yes 24% 1,124.83 shares
- Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?Yes 68.8% 176.95 shares
- Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?Yes 69% 176.95 shares