Polymarket Trader

0x40eb64E03E1Ba81E1e690e768e3E48CE91F53F31-1769469649828

0x40eb64e03e1ba81e1e690e768e3e48ce91f53f31

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $330.35
Realized PnL: $7.78K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Military action against Iran ends on April 23, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.34K
Potential profit: $40.34K
User PnL: -$54.98

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.56K
Potential profit: $16.56K
User PnL: -$1.81K

Yes position

Military action against Iran ends on April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.65K
Potential profit: $6.65K
User PnL: -$19.44

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the US strike Yemen next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.15K
Potential profit: $4.15K
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.32K
Potential profit: $2.32K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $78.04
Potential payout: $2.03K
Potential profit: $1.95K
Multiplier: 25.97x
User PnL: -$71.96

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.84K
Potential profit: $1.84K
User PnL: -$201

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $1.67K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $237.47
Potential payout: $1.64K
Potential profit: $1.4K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$62.53

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.43K
Potential profit: $1.43K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1.01K
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $882.35
Potential profit: $882.35
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $834.72
Potential profit: $834.72
User PnL: -$15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $731.11
Potential profit: $731.11
User PnL: -$243.48

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $701.75
Potential profit: $701.75
User PnL: -$40

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $651.95
Potential profit: $651.95
User PnL: -$320.35

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $14.84
Potential payout: $631.58
Potential profit: $616.74
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: -$45.16

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $595.24
Potential profit: $595.24
User PnL: -$250

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $542.31
Potential profit: $542.31
User PnL: -$20.99

Yes position

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $525.8
Potential profit: $525.8
User PnL: -$170

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 15?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $391.51
Potential profit: $391.51
User PnL: -$99.11

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $384.62
Potential profit: $384.62
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.27K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $801.02

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $444.45

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on February 12?

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $331.78

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $170.88

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down on February 12?

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $158.46

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $145.36

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $138.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.75

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120.54

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $115.55

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.84

No position

Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.16

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.11

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.88

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.94

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.53

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.55

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.43

No position

US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58

No position

Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.66

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4AM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.92

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.24

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.7% 701.75 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4% 1,750 shares
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 17% 205.88 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET

Up 39% 256.32 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET

Down 34% 73.53 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET

Up 57% 203.73 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET

Up 49.1% 203.74 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET

Down 61% 40.98 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET

Up 15% 33.33 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET

Down 82% 59.52 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET

Down 42% 59.52 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

Up 40% 62.5 shares