No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.92K
- Potential profit
- $29.92K
- User PnL
- -$20.97K
Polymarket Trader
BS-SA-JJ-Team
0x40f1ca46f0fa82daa50d8a35c9c753c42c2015f9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.82K
- Realized PnL
- $53.38K
- Win rate
- 54.2%
- Open positions
- 22
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.13K
- Potential profit
- $17.13K
- User PnL
- -$8.5K
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.52K
- Potential profit
- $12.52K
- User PnL
- -$10.93K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.99K
- Potential profit
- $11.99K
- User PnL
- -$3.72K
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.54K
- Potential profit
- $10.54K
- User PnL
- -$7.18K
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.38K
- Potential profit
- $4.38K
- User PnL
- -$1.36K
Yes position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.16K
- Potential profit
- $4.16K
- User PnL
- -$1.57K
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.35K
- Potential profit
- $3.35K
- User PnL
- -$2.45K
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $166.99
- Potential payout
- $3.04K
- Potential profit
- $2.87K
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$833
Yes position
Will Pete Hegseth enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.67K
- Potential profit
- $2.67K
- User PnL
- -$300
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.3K
- Potential profit
- $2.3K
- User PnL
- -$1.68K
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $166.51
- Potential payout
- $1.96K
- Potential profit
- $1.79K
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$499.49
No position
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $1.05K
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $200.77
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $54.05
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $999.18
- Potential profit
- $999.18
- User PnL
- -$509.58
Yes position
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $823
- Potential profit
- $823
- User PnL
- -$222.21
Yes position
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.4%
- Current value
- $79.79
- Potential payout
- $703
- Potential profit
- $623.21
- Multiplier
- 8.81x
- User PnL
- -$152.2
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $626.54
- Potential payout
- $626.54
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $208.91
Yes position
Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $494
- Potential profit
- $494
- User PnL
- -$153.14
Yes position
Will Iran strike UAE by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $397.87
- Potential payout
- $397.87
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $44.56
Yes position
Will Iran successfully target shipping on April 3, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $343.5
- Potential profit
- $343.5
- User PnL
- -$27.48
Yes position
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $329.5
- Potential payout
- $329.5
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $187.82
Yes position
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $113.59
- Potential profit
- $113.59
- User PnL
- -$34.81
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.33K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.41K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.97K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.64K
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.76K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.79K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04K
Yes position
Houthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.43K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33K
Yes position
Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $630.62
Yes position
Military action against Iran continues through March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $452.93
No position
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.15
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.77
Yes position
Will Iran successfully target shipping on March 29, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$24.6
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$65.32
Yes position
Will Iran successfully target shipping on March 28, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$90.33
Yes position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$121
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on March 25, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$128.99
Yes position
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$153
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on March 24, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$180
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on March 23, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$199.99
Yes position
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$199.99
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on March 19, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$199.99
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$223.79
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No 41.9% 240 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No 73% 898.79 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?No 62% 3,351 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No 88.7% 499 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No 87.3% 279.98 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Yes 51% 39.59 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes 31% 1,936.93 shares
- Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?Yes 38% 95.28 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 99.7% 2,253 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 99.7% 5,000 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 99.7% 4,000 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 99.7% 3,000 shares