Polymarket Trader

0x40F502F276165F19DfBA36c225D6c5736C2A55B9-1762284025367

0x40f502f276165f19dfba36c225d6c5736c2a55b9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $480.31
Realized PnL: $1.2K
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 8
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?

Ends Nov 1, 2026

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $19.5
Potential payout: $684.1
Potential profit: $664.6
Multiplier: 35.09x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.4%
Current value: $58.39
Potential payout: $318.18
Potential profit: $259.8
Multiplier: 5.45x
User PnL: $23.39

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $312.82
Potential profit: $312.82
User PnL: -$122

Yes position

Will Cape Verde reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 8.4%
Current value: $19.73
Potential payout: $236.28
Potential profit: $216.55
Multiplier: 11.98x
User PnL: -$0.27

Yes position

Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 U.S. Open?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $222.22
Potential profit: $222.22
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.1%
Current value: $21.71
Potential payout: $216.05
Potential profit: $194.34
Multiplier: 9.95x
User PnL: -$13.29

Yes position

Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 U.S. Open?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 66%
Current value: $108.2
Potential payout: $163.93
Potential profit: $55.74
Multiplier: 1.52x
User PnL: $8.2

Yes position

Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $50.72
Potential payout: $147.06
Potential profit: $96.34
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: $0.72

Yes position

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 U.S. Open?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Argentina be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 25%
Current value: $32.75
Potential payout: $131.01
Potential profit: $98.26
Multiplier: 4.00x
User PnL: -$2.25

Yes position

Will Ecuador reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $6.44
Potential payout: $128.83
Potential profit: $122.39
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: -$43.56

Yes position

Will OG Anunoby win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125.63
Potential profit: $125.63
User PnL: -$35

Yes position

Will Senegal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $49.81
Potential payout: $120.02
Potential profit: $70.21
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$0.19

Germany position

Spread: Germany (-1.5)

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $106.38
Potential profit: $106.38
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.96
Potential profit: $99.96
User PnL: -$35

No position

Will USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $49.54
Potential payout: $92.59
Potential profit: $43.06
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: -$0.46

Yes position

Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.91
User PnL: -$20

Senegal position

Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $33.72
Potential payout: $85.37
Potential profit: $51.65
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: -$1.28

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani say "Subway" during his victory/concession speech?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $75
User PnL: -$47.57

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 46%
Current value: $29.81
Potential payout: $64.81
Potential profit: $35
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: -$1.07

Yes position

Will Trump and Mamdani shake hands for between 2 and 6 seconds on November 21 2025?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61.46
Potential profit: $61.46
User PnL: -$17

No position

Will South Africa advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.56
User PnL: -$35

Trail Blazers position

Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48.08
Potential profit: $48.08
User PnL: -$25

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $998.8

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119.15

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.5

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani say "Socialist" or "Socialism" during his victory/concession speech?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35

Cincinnati Reds position

New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Tunisia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Philadelphia Phillies position

1st 5 Innings Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Over position

France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance

Senegal 41% 85.37 shares
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?

Yes 26.7% 131.01 shares
1st 5 Innings Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)

Philadelphia Phillies 47% 106.38 shares
Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?

Yes 2.9% 684.1 shares
Spread: Germany (-1.5)

Germany 47% 106.38 shares
Will USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 54% 92.59 shares
Will Cape Verde reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.5% 236.28 shares
Will Ecuador reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 38.8% 128.83 shares
Will Senegal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 41.7% 120.02 shares
Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 61% 163.93 shares
Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 U.S. Open?

Yes 4.5% 222.22 shares
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 U.S. Open?

Yes 7% 142.86 shares