Polymarket Trader

Brothor

0x41005ae6677c4dc3828dcae535aaec1c3b5acd2c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $55.43
Realized PnL: $67.55
Win rate: 53.3%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 15
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Du Plessis position

UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev

Ends Aug 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $147.06
Potential profit: $147.06
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $106.6
Potential profit: $106.6
User PnL: -$10

No position

Iran strike on Israel by Friday?

Ends Jun 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $105.49
Potential profit: $105.49
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with South Korean president on August 25?

Ends Aug 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75.76
Potential profit: $75.76
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the fight be won by submission?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $16.2
Potential payout: $72
Potential profit: $55.8
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: $11.16

Yes position

Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $9.16
Potential payout: $36
Potential profit: $26.84
Multiplier: 3.93x
User PnL: -$0.88

Paddy Pimblett position

UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 43%
Current value: $14.62
Potential payout: $34
Potential profit: $19.38
Multiplier: 2.33x
User PnL: -$0.68

Wang Cong position

UFC 329: Wang Cong vs. Tracy Cortez (Women's Flyweight, Early Prelims)

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $15.45
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $14.55
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: -$0.15

No position

Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with European Union in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.78
Potential profit: $20.78
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with South Korean president on August 25?

Ends Aug 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.61
Potential profit: $19.61
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Trump deploys National Guard in D.C. by Monday?

Ends Aug 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.53

No position

Will Trump attend UFC 319?

Ends Aug 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.88

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.67

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.49

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.35

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 9AM ET

Ends Aug 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49

No position

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.62

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.53

Max Holloway position

UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: -$0.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.06

Yes position

Will Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.31

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.33

No position

Trump out as President before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$5.71

Yes position

Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?

Ends Sep 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$19

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Conor McGregor win by KO or TKO? AND UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) AND O/U 2.5 Rounds

20.5% 95.18 shares
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)

Max Holloway 65% 30 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET

Up 1% 100 shares
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?

Yes 27.9% 9 shares
UFC 329: Wang Cong vs. Tracy Cortez (Women's Flyweight, Early Prelims)

Wang Cong 52% 30 shares
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)

Paddy Pimblett 45% 34 shares
Will the fight be won by submission?

Yes 7% 72 shares
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)

Max Holloway 67% 30 shares
Trump out as President before GTA VI?

No 50% 28.57 shares
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Yes 10.2% 78.43 shares
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with South Korean president on August 25?

Yes 51% 9.8 shares
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with South Korean president on August 25?

Yes 51% 9.8 shares