Polymarket Trader

0x41024EfB59D2C45900023CEE2c51000bFA1Ad397-1768061326254

0x41024efb59d2c45900023cee2c51000bfa1ad397

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $789.55
Realized PnL: $866.74
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $789.55
Potential payout: $13.73K
Potential profit: $12.94K
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$130.43

Down position

Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on January 23?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.59K
Potential profit: $4.59K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.41K
Potential profit: $1.41K
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $728.89
Potential profit: $728.89
User PnL: -$3

Down position

Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on January 14?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $219.26
Potential profit: $219.26
User PnL: -$140

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $155.12
Potential profit: $155.12
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $148.75
Potential profit: $148.75
User PnL: -$1

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 29?

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $132.35
Potential profit: $132.35
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $112.59
Potential profit: $112.59
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on January 21?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $95.84
Potential profit: $95.84
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $94.73
Potential profit: $94.73
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70.67
Potential profit: $70.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $66.67
User PnL: -$1

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 2?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $63.13
Potential profit: $63.13
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.94
Potential profit: $55.94
User PnL: -$5

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 27?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.56
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on February 6?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.96
Potential profit: $54.96
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.96
Potential profit: $51.96
User PnL: -$20

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on February 7?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$4

Over position

Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.48
Potential profit: $43.48
User PnL: -$20

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Sean Strickland position

UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $426.32

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.94

Yes position

Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-17?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.51

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 3?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45

Yes position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.65

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 4?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.33

Yes position

Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-10?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.67

Under position

Girona FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.42

Cavaliers position

Spread: Cavaliers (-17.5)

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.38

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.67

Under position

Mavericks vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.5

Yes position

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.96

Nuggets position

Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13

Under position

Bucks vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.92

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.39

Hornets position

Hawks vs. Hornets

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.82

Over position

Magic vs. Bucks: O/U 217.5

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Under position

Mavericks vs. Raptors: O/U 229.5

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.81

Under position

Maryland Terrapins vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knights: O/U 144.5

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.8

Manhattan Jaspers position

Spread: Manhattan Jaspers (-1.5)

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.06

Under position

Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 243.5

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.87

Over position

Trail Blazers vs. Jazz: O/U 237.5

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.87

Fordham Rams position

Spread: Rhode Island Rams (-5.5)

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.87

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Yes 6.7% 13,731.34 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?

No 8% 125 shares
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)

Sean Strickland 19% 526.32 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?

Yes 58% 8.44 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?

No 36.1% 13.41 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?

Yes 66% 23.83 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?

Yes 13.2% 36.23 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?

Yes 33% 14.64 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?

Yes 61.9% 8.07 shares
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Yes 62% 32.26 shares
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Yes 62% 48.39 shares
Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5

Over 46% 43.48 shares