No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $89.08K
- Potential payout
- $89.57K
- Potential profit
- $492.66
- User PnL
- $12.42K
Polymarket Trader
afdafdafdafdafd
0x410aa391edffa58af64517ec579af5def62b2643
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $442.24K
- Realized PnL
- $58.51K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 18
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $59.73K
- Potential payout
- $66K
- Potential profit
- $6.27K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $4.95K
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $48.06K
- Potential payout
- $52.53K
- Potential profit
- $4.46K
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $1.16K
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $45.25K
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $4.75K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $3.25K
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Current value
- $43.28K
- Potential payout
- $45.92K
- Potential profit
- $2.64K
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $2.08K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $36.2K
- Potential payout
- $40K
- Potential profit
- $3.8K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $3.4K
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $35.4K
- Potential payout
- $40K
- Potential profit
- $4.6K
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $1.4K
No position
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $22.22K
- Potential payout
- $22.37K
- Potential profit
- $145.38
- User PnL
- $11.18
No position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $16.84K
- Potential payout
- $16.94K
- Potential profit
- $101.63
- User PnL
- $411.17
No position
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.4%
- Current value
- $11.44K
- Potential payout
- $12K
- Potential profit
- $558
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $1.78K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11K
- Potential profit
- $11K
- User PnL
- -$9K
No position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $9.74K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $255
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $15
No position
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $8.23K
- Potential payout
- $8.33K
- Potential profit
- $108.33
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $33.33
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.5K
- Potential profit
- $7.5K
- User PnL
- -$7.19K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $5.99K
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $9
- User PnL
- $171.04
No position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $4.97K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $32.5
- User PnL
- $77.5
No position
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $4.98K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- $155
No position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $818.78
- Potential payout
- $837.62
- Potential profit
- $18.85
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$2.93
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.81K
Yes position
Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.62K
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.42K
76ers position
76ers vs. Warriors
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.54K
76ers position
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.43K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.36K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.95K
Hawks position
Hawks vs. Heat
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55K
Bucks position
Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.16K
No position
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.12K
Knicks position
Spread: Knicks (-13.5)
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.95K
Celtics position
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.92K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.74K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.72K
No position
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.72K
Yes position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.71K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49K
No position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.48K
Grizzlies position
Grizzlies vs. Kings
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33K
No position
Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.32K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 97% 56.5 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 97% 380 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 99.4% 371.73 shares
- Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?No 96.9% 230.13 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 97% 4,608.98 shares
- Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 99.1% 13.03 shares
- Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?No 99.7% 5,157.45 shares
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 98.1% 7.62 shares
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 98.1% 830 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 32.3% 2,027.11 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 33.4% 31.18 shares
- Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 99.2% 13.04 shares