Polymarket Trader

ariokh

0x410c934cea349d96999860f86141c7eb70b27d2f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.39K
Realized PnL: $19.44K
Win rate: 33.3%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.98K
Potential profit: $5.98K
User PnL: -$4.85K

No position

Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.09K
Potential profit: $4.09K
User PnL: -$2.75K

Yes position

Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $728.79
Potential payout: $2.86K
Potential profit: $2.13K
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$1.27K

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.41K
Potential profit: $2.41K
User PnL: -$2K

Yes position

Will Austria reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 30%
Current value: $452.61
Potential payout: $1.51K
Potential profit: $1.06K
Multiplier: 3.33x
User PnL: -$57.38

Yes position

Will Ivory Coast reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $377.18
Potential payout: $1.13K
Potential profit: $748.72
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: -$46.73

Yes position

Will Egypt reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $448.2
Potential payout: $1.08K
Potential profit: $631.8
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $48.6

No position

Will Czechia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $874.5
Potential payout: $1.06K
Potential profit: $185.5
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $524.7

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $1.04K
User PnL: -$301.6

Yes position

Will Sweden reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 24%
Current value: $227.85
Potential payout: $949.37
Potential profit: $721.52
Multiplier: 4.17x
User PnL: -$148.2

Yes position

Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $784.31
Potential profit: $784.31
User PnL: -$400

Yes position

Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $141
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $459
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$9

Over position

Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium O/U 6.5 Corners

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $490.11
Potential profit: $490.11
User PnL: -$244.96

Over position

England vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total Corners

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $360.65
Potential profit: $360.65
User PnL: -$100

No position

Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $360
Potential profit: $360
User PnL: -$320.4

Yes position

Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Senegal?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Senegal?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300.78
Potential profit: $300.78
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $141.1
Potential payout: $254.24
Potential profit: $113.14
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: -$8.9

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.51K

Yes position

Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.51K

No position

Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $833.65

No position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $270

Germany position

Spread: Germany (-1.5)

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $177.1

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.59

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Over position

England vs. Ghana: O/U 7.5 Total Corners

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Switzerland vs. Canada: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 26%
Multiplier: 3.85x
User PnL: -$3.67

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$8

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 26% 1,538.46 shares
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 59% 254.24 shares
Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw?

Yes 25% 600 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 74% 5,405.41 shares
Switzerland vs. Canada: Both Teams to Score

Yes 56% 714.29 shares
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 29% 1,040 shares
England vs. Ghana: O/U 7.5 Total Corners

Over 68% 294.12 shares
England vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total Corners

Over 27.7% 360.65 shares
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 66% 454.55 shares
Will England win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 83% 2,409.64 shares
Will Austria reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 33% 454.55 shares
Spread: France (-1.5)

France 76% 2,597.4 shares