Polymarket Trader

0x410d389f1DCDcdA12F6bC942C8022D40117e4C78-1776235108481

0x410d389f1dcdcda12f6bc942c8022d40117e4c78

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $106.92
Realized PnL: $131.5
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $474.87
Potential profit: $474.87
User PnL: -$53.5

Yes position

RFK Jr. Out by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $45.73
Potential payout: $194.6
Potential profit: $148.87
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$34.64

No position

Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 63%
Current value: $34.36
Potential payout: $54.55
Potential profit: $20.18
Multiplier: 1.59x
User PnL: $4.36

No position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $19.93
Potential payout: $21.21
Potential profit: $1.28
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$0.07

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.54
Potential profit: $12.54
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.46
Potential profit: $7.46
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 96.9%
Current value: $4.9
Potential payout: $5.06
Potential profit: $0.16
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$0.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.27
Potential profit: $2.27
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $2
Potential payout: $2.02
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.84

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.8

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.12

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.54

Yes position

Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.4

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.31

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.55

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.42

Yes position

Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.32

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.67

No position

Kash Patel out by April 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.72

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.39

Yes position

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.2

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.12

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.97

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.45

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.39

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.39

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.36

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.24

No position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.12

Yes position

Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.03

Texas Rangers position

Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

No 99.8% 10.03 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 98.1% 6.17 shares
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?

No 55% 18.18 shares
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?

No 55% 36.36 shares
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 99.2% 10.13 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 97.5% 20.63 shares
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 15.3% 8.9 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 96.9% 20.64 shares
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

No 99.8% 8.02 shares
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

No 99.8% 10.02 shares
RFK Jr. Out by December 31?

Yes 37% 5.41 shares
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

No 99.4% 20.12 shares