Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 59°F or below on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.3%
- Current value
- $5.78
- Potential payout
- $37.89
- Potential profit
- $32.11
- Multiplier
- 6.56x
- User PnL
- $3.22
Polymarket Trader
0x410f...806b
0x410fe93ddacf0c85a21b6c3be7230b36b148806b
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $38.87
- Realized PnL
- $114.78
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $14.91
- Potential payout
- $14.98
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- User PnL
- $3.23
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 30%
- Current value
- $3.03
- Potential payout
- $10.11
- Potential profit
- $7.08
- Multiplier
- 3.33x
- User PnL
- $1.27
No position
Anduril Industries IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $5.83
- Potential payout
- $6.62
- Potential profit
- $0.79
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $0.25
- Potential payout
- $5.56
- Potential profit
- $5.31
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$1.75
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 46%
- Current value
- $1.77
- Potential payout
- $3.85
- Potential profit
- $2.08
- Multiplier
- 2.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
No position
Will JUUL relaunch Mango flavor by 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 57%
- Current value
- $1.42
- Potential payout
- $2.5
- Potential profit
- $1.08
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- -$0.58
No position
Anduril IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $2.03
- Potential payout
- $2.27
- Potential profit
- $0.24
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.14
- Potential payout
- $2.14
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $1.7
- Potential payout
- $1.7
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.24
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.45
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.36
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.33
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.8
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C or below on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.47
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.15
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.84
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.02
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.54
Under position
Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.44
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.34
No position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.02
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.71
No position
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.45
Over position
Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 205.5
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.86
Ducks position
Golden Knights vs. Ducks
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.66
Yes position
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.65
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63
No position
Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 59°F or below on June 30?Yes 3.3% 33.46 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?No 52% 3.85 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 59°F or below on June 30?Yes 33.2% 4.43 shares
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?Yes 66% 3.03 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on June 30?Yes 12.2% 3.31 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on June 30?Yes 12.2% 0.37 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on June 30?Yes 12.2% 5.73 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on June 30?Yes 36.4% 9.42 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 30?Yes 5.3% 9.81 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 30?Yes 10.9% 9.82 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on June 29?Yes 6% 8.78 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on June 29?Yes 48% 2.41 shares