Polymarket Trader

0x411370250021393332Aa1Fd1136A0715bfD7042e-1773609658080

0x411370250021393332aa1fd1136a0715bfd7042e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $79.51
Realized PnL: -$279.97
Win rate: 41.7%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 12
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.39K
Potential profit: $1.39K
User PnL: -$38.05

Yes position

Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?

Ends Aug 2, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $18.72
Potential payout: $748.85
Potential profit: $730.13
Multiplier: 40.00x
User PnL: -$31.28

Yes position

Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 90m?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $686.7
Potential profit: $686.7
User PnL: -$47.67

Yes position

Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 280m?

Ends Aug 2, 2026

Implied probability: 17.8%
Current value: $60.79
Potential payout: $342.47
Potential profit: $281.68
Multiplier: 5.63x
User PnL: $10.79

Carano position

MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $263.16
Potential profit: $263.16
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 80m?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $259.82
Potential profit: $259.82
User PnL: -$40.23

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $209.45
Potential profit: $209.45
User PnL: -$8.38

Yes position

Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 180m and 190m?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $96.16
Potential profit: $96.16
User PnL: -$50

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $67.04
Potential profit: $67.04
User PnL: -$4.67

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56.32
Potential profit: $56.32
User PnL: -$31.97

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.17
Potential profit: $31.17
User PnL: -$3.12

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.78
Potential profit: $24.78
User PnL: -$4.71

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.72

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.84

Yes position

Will "Project Hail Mary" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 22m?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

Up position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 6?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9.73

Yes position

Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 190m and 200m?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$31.17

Yes position

Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$48.99

Yes position

Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$49.82

Yes position

Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 90m?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 90m?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$50

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?

Yes 6.7% 748.85 shares
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 280m?

Yes 14.6% 342.47 shares
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?

No 1% 5,000 shares
MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano

Carano 19% 263.16 shares
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?

Yes 2.7% 1,316.95 shares
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 90m?

Yes 6.9% 653.19 shares
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 80m?

Yes 15.5% 248.35 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?

No 98.5% 40.61 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET

Up 56.8% 54.51 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET

Up 24.7% 141.3 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET

Up 31.6% 133.99 shares
Will "Project Hail Mary" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 22m?

Yes 96.2% 40.56 shares