No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $171.66
- Potential payout
- $423.85
- Potential profit
- $252.19
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $11.3
Polymarket Trader
BakerWilliam
@DustynPayne
0x41201f4ec53420c627cc6e85de9b74bebb68f424
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $191.01
- Realized PnL
- $75.12
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Switzerland?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $105.08
- Potential profit
- $105.08
- User PnL
- -$12.61
Y
Yes position
Will Norway reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.67
- Potential profit
- $24.67
- User PnL
- -$8.78
No position
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $19.35
- Potential payout
- $21.4
- Potential profit
- $2.04
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $0.59
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on October 30?
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.19
- Potential profit
- $17.19
- User PnL
- -$11
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.7%
- Multiplier
- 5.36x
- User PnL
- $31.96
Yes position
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.53
No position
Will Jessica Pegula be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.69
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on October 29?
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.35
N
No position
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Belgium?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.54
Yes position
Will Japan win on 2025-11-18?
Ends Nov 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1
N
No position
Exact Score: United States 3 - 2 Belgium?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.91
No position
Will Trump strike a drug boat on October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24
No position
Will Trump strike a drug boat on October 30?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Trump strike a drug boat on October 28?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.6%
- Multiplier
- 6.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.43
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.8
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$5.03
Yes position
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.8%
- Multiplier
- 10.26x
- User PnL
- -$5.05
Yes position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 37% 10.27 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 37.9% 413.58 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 17.8% 99.27 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 83.1% 100.08 shares
- Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?Yes 11.4% 4 shares
- Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?Yes 13.5% 119 shares
- Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?Yes 9.3% 101 shares
- Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?No 87.7% 22.33 shares
- Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?Yes 14.5% 105.93 shares
- Will Norway reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 36% 14.39 shares
- Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?Yes 16.6% 14.1 shares
- Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?Yes 13.5% 105.56 shares