No position
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Current value
- $7.76K
- Potential payout
- $8.15K
- Potential profit
- $387.13
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $808.96
Polymarket Trader
XueqinJiang
0x4133f8ff4b624c1d1b4ddfbf1da803c1e0d4ea5d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $17.89K
- Realized PnL
- $31.98K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Trump pardon Martin Shkreli before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $6.5K
- Potential payout
- $6.99K
- Potential profit
- $489.22
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $536.96
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $1.24K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $1.75K
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- $344.66
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $2.2K
- Potential payout
- $2.28K
- Potential profit
- $79.82
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $233.86
No position
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $185.79
- Potential payout
- $186.07
- Potential profit
- $0.28
- User PnL
- $40.88
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.7K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.41K
Yes position
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.33K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.32K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.88K
Yes position
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4K
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.39K
Yes position
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.28K
No position
Will fewer than 2 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24K
No position
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19K
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Friedrich Merz in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06K
Yes position
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $956.48
No position
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $936.91
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $925.07
Yes position
More EU sanctions on Russia by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $892.46
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $839.26
Sean Strickland position
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $830.17
Yes position
Will Pam Bondi be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $819.17
No position
Will Andrey Gyurov be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $775.87
Yes position
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by April 15?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $707.83
Yes position
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $669.9
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $619.01
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $605.46
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 16.5% 1,872.58 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 18.3% 625.25 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 20.1% 899.37 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 22.5% 1,000 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 19.3% 112.37 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 20.8% 2,321.64 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by June 30?Yes 98% 5,000 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.25T by June 30?Yes 67.1% 681 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.25T by June 30?Yes 82.2% 79 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.25T by June 30?Yes 80% 760 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?No 86.3% 5,758.24 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?No 87.5% 615 shares