Polymarket Trader

cuscatleco503

0x4140f7543879ee1d62b2fba2cc86a7ae53ef774f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $406.54
Realized PnL: $910.46
Win rate: 87%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 23
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.96K
Potential profit: $10.96K
User PnL: -$719.99

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.17K
Potential profit: $5.17K
User PnL: -$710

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $160.69
Potential payout: $1.89K
Potential profit: $1.73K
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$109.31

Yes position

SBF released from custody in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.6%
Current value: $17.76
Potential payout: $390.26
Potential profit: $372.5
Multiplier: 21.98x
User PnL: $2.76

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $23.18
Potential payout: $272.73
Potential profit: $249.55
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$6.82

Yes position

AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $72.73
Potential payout: $112.76
Potential profit: $40.03
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: -$2.27

No position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 62.9%
Current value: $39.37
Potential payout: $62.55
Potential profit: $23.18
Multiplier: 1.59x
User PnL: -$0.63

No position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $32.59
Potential payout: $57.69
Potential profit: $25.1
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $2.59

No position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 63.2%
Current value: $31.02
Potential payout: $49.09
Potential profit: $18.06
Multiplier: 1.58x
User PnL: $1.02

No position

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 60.3%
Current value: $29.2
Potential payout: $48.47
Potential profit: $19.26
Multiplier: 1.66x
User PnL: -$0.8

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $245

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $172.24

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $126.23

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.12

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.05

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.25

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.37

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.95

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $30.41

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.27

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.76

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.89

Yes position

Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.38

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $3.21

Yes position

Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.35

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.97

Yes position

Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.25

No position

Netanyahu out by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.95

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.91

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.61

Yes position

Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.82

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9.68

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?

Yes 67.6% 37 shares
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?

Yes 66% 45.45 shares
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?

Yes 66% 30.3 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes 5% 200 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes 7% 142.86 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.1% 322.58 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes 10% 500 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes 14% 714.29 shares
SBF released from custody in 2026?

Yes 3.8% 390.26 shares
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

No 61.9% 48.47 shares
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Yes 11% 272.73 shares
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 61.1% 49.09 shares