fvankers

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.13
Potential profit: $15.13
User PnL: -$8.32

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 92.4%
Current value: $7.76
Potential payout: $8.4
Potential profit: $0.64
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $3.56

No position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.23
Potential profit: $8.23
User PnL: -$4.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.23
Potential profit: $8.23
User PnL: -$4.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.77
Potential profit: $7.77
User PnL: -$4.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $3.94
Potential payout: $7.5
Potential profit: $3.56
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: -$0.26

No position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $1.27
Potential payout: $7.24
Potential profit: $5.97
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$2.93

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $6.98
Potential payout: $7
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $2.78

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7
Potential profit: $7
User PnL: -$4.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $3.01
Potential payout: $6.77
Potential profit: $3.76
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: -$1.18

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.66
Potential profit: $6.66
User PnL: -$4.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $6.56
Potential payout: $6.56
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $2.36

No position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 15.3%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $6.56
Potential profit: $5.56
Multiplier: 6.56x
User PnL: -$3.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $3.46
Potential payout: $6.46
Potential profit: $3
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: -$0.74

No position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 74%
Current value: $4.78
Potential payout: $6.46
Potential profit: $1.68
Multiplier: 1.35x
User PnL: $0.58

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $0.17
Potential payout: $6.36
Potential profit: $6.19
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: -$4.03

No position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 9°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 61%
Current value: $3.88
Potential payout: $6.36
Potential profit: $2.48
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: -$0.32

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.36
Potential profit: $6.36
User PnL: -$4.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 2?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.26
Potential profit: $6.26
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.19

No position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $3.6
Potential payout: $6.26
Potential profit: $2.66
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: -$0.59

No position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 84.6%
Current value: $5.22
Potential payout: $6.17
Potential profit: $0.95
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $1.02

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $4.04
Potential payout: $6.08
Potential profit: $2.04
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: -$0.15

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 66%
Current value: $4
Potential payout: $6.06
Potential profit: $2.06
Multiplier: 1.52x
User PnL: -$0.06

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $5.4
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $0.6
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $1.2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on July 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.92

No position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.8

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.79

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.57

No position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on July 2?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.46

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.28

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.26

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.16

No position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.07

No position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on July 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.97

No position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.61

No position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.55

No position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4

No position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.18

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.12

No position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C or below on July 1?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.54

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.42

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.4

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.34

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.33

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 1?