topdogletsgo2

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $4.85
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $5.15
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Iran full airspace closure by July 31?

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $9.05
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.95
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $4.95

No position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?

Implied probability: 42%
Current value: $4.2
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $5.8
Multiplier: 2.38x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.91
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$3.15

No position

Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q2 investment banking fees be above $3.0B?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 64%
Current value: $6.4
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $3.6
Multiplier: 1.56x
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Iran full airspace closure by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $1.95
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $8.05
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$1.77

Yes position

Will Solana reach $90 in July?

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $5.15
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $4.85
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Iran full airspace closure by July 31?

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $0.95
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.05
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$3.88

Yes position

Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 38%
Current value: $3.8
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $6.2
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: -$1.55

No position

Will Morocco be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $2.25
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $7.75
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: -$2.03

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?

Implied probability: 58%
Current value: $5.8
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $4.2
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $9.91
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.1
User PnL: $5.7

Yes position

Will Morocco be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $7.75
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $2.25
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $2.2

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $0.24
Potential payout: $9.68
Potential profit: $9.44
Multiplier: 40.00x
User PnL: -$2.78

No position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $5.06
Potential payout: $9.64
Potential profit: $4.58
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: -$0.19

Yes position

Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 20, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $4.9
Potential payout: $9.34
Potential profit: $4.44
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: -$0.04

No position

Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 20, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $4.42
Potential payout: $9.31
Potential profit: $4.89
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 62%
Current value: $5.73
Potential payout: $9.24
Potential profit: $3.51
Multiplier: 1.61x
User PnL: $1.05

No position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 63.1%
Current value: $5.46
Potential payout: $8.65
Potential profit: $3.19
Multiplier: 1.58x
User PnL: $0.38

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $8.1
Potential profit: $8.09
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$2.04

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 57%
Current value: $4.56
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $3.44
Multiplier: 1.75x
User PnL: $0.56

Yes position

Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Implied probability: 7.6%
Current value: $0.51
Potential payout: $6.66
Potential profit: $6.15
Multiplier: 13.16x
User PnL: -$1.28

Yes position

Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $0.8
Potential payout: $6.43
Potential profit: $5.63
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$0.36

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.24

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.43

New York Mets position

New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.37

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.6

Florent Bax position

Brazzaville: Florent Bax vs Adrian Arcon

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.61

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.61

Yes position

Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.29

Lanlana Tararudee position

Jiujiang: Lanlana Tararudee vs Han Shi

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.96

No position

Will Egypt be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.88

Yes position

Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.76

Yes position

Over $15M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.15

No position

Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.08

Yes position

Over $20M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.85

No position

Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.35

No position

Will Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.25

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.07

Yes position

Will a team from France be the 2026 Champions League winner?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.99

Yes position

Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Western Conference?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.91

No position

GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.9

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.75

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.7

No position

Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 PGA Championship?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.59

Yes position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?