Yes position
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $653.54
- Potential profit
- $653.54
- User PnL
- -$5
Polymarket Trader
0x4150Aec06cDF94A3f271F1764DfB06407843Ab98-1766813307123
0x4150aec06cdf94a3f271f1764dfb06407843ab98
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $259.23
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $623.75
- Potential profit
- $623.75
- User PnL
- -$4.99
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $343.33
- Potential profit
- $343.33
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $331.67
- Potential profit
- $331.67
- User PnL
- -$1.99
Yes position
Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the first round by 4–6%?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $208.99
- Potential profit
- $208.99
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $168.96
- Potential profit
- $168.96
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $165.67
- Potential profit
- $165.67
- User PnL
- -$4.97
Yes position
Will Pheu Thai Party (PT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $148.81
- Potential profit
- $148.81
- User PnL
- -$4.99
No position
Will Iran strike Iraq in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $134.86
- Potential profit
- $134.86
- User PnL
- -$4.99
Yes position
Will Bahrain strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $133.33
- Potential profit
- $133.33
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $108.7
- Potential profit
- $108.7
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $108.08
- Potential profit
- $108.08
- User PnL
- -$6.98
Yes position
Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the first round by 2–4%?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $104.99
- Potential profit
- $104.99
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 46°F or higher on January 6?
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $95.58
- Potential profit
- $95.58
- User PnL
- -$1.99
Yes position
Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) finish in third place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76.81
- Potential profit
- $76.81
- User PnL
- -$2.79
Yes position
Will Trump create a tariff dividend by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71
- Potential profit
- $71
- User PnL
- -$4.97
No position
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 6, 2026?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $69.48
- Potential profit
- $69.48
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Paul Le Roux as Satoshi?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $68.65
- Potential profit
- $68.65
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Alec Baldwin be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.25
- Potential profit
- $62.25
- User PnL
- -$4.98
Yes position
Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the first round by less than 2%?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.19
- Potential profit
- $62.19
- User PnL
- -$1.99
No position
Will PPSO win the most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.13
- Potential profit
- $62.13
- User PnL
- -$4.97
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.13
- Potential profit
- $62.13
- User PnL
- -$4.97
Yes position
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $56.08
- Potential profit
- $56.08
- User PnL
- -$6.93
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.48
- Potential profit
- $49.48
- User PnL
- -$1.98
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.65
No position
Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.55
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26
Yes position
Will Grok 4.20 not be released by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.22
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.82
Yes position
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.57
No position
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.52
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.13
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.14
No position
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.72
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.6
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.6
Yes position
Iran strike on US military by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.4
Yes position
Will the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) win between 200 and 249 seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.75
Yes position
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.74
Yes position
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.07
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6
Yes position
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 9?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.87
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.8
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.75
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.68
Yes position
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 17?
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.6
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.52
Yes position
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 14.5m?
Ends Jan 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.52
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes 22% 8.69 shares
- Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes 23% 8.7 shares
- Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No 77% 2.66 shares
- Will Trump say "Bahrain" this week?Yes 2% 2.59 shares
- Pam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?Yes 22% 2.24 shares
- Pam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?Yes 89% 2.25 shares
- Will Trump say "Bahrain" this week?Yes 77% 2.6 shares
- Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No 75% 2.67 shares
- Will there be fewer than 2 North Korea tests in May 2026?No 35% 2.43 shares
- Will there be fewer than 2 North Korea tests in May 2026?No 82% 2.44 shares
- Will Trump say "Uranium" this week?Yes 78% 2.07 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?No 99% 2.02 shares