Polymarket Trader

0x41576aF1657d34F991AFee733654F0b45C564cbF-1767297890010

0x41576af1657d34f991afee733654f0b45c564cbf

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $177.34
Realized PnL: $191.92
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 21
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.2%
Current value: $22.78
Potential payout: $160
Potential profit: $137.22
Multiplier: 7.02x
User PnL: $3.1

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $55.88
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $19.13
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: -$4.28

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 89%
Current value: $35.6
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $4.4
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$27.6

Yes position

Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $5.85
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $24.15
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$0.45

Yes position

Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$3.9

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $21.74
Potential payout: $29.99
Potential profit: $8.25
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.08
Potential profit: $23.08
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $18.69
Potential payout: $21.86
Potential profit: $3.17
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $0.51

Yes position

Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$4.2

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$13

Yes position

Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $3.9
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $16.1
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$3.5

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.12
Potential profit: $19.12
User PnL: -$13

Yes position

Will Panama vs. England end in a draw?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Jordan vs. Argentina end in a draw?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $12.89
Potential payout: $13.79
Potential profit: $0.9
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$0.21

Yes position

Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.2
Potential profit: $12.2
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.5
Potential profit: $7.5
User PnL: -$1.05

Yes position

Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $7.14
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 10?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.6

Yes position

Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25

Yes position

Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.05

Yes position

Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 27?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.6

Yes position

Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 17?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.57

Yes position

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 13?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.75

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 14?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.33

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.72

Yes position

Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.4

Yes position

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 5?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.3

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.51

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.2

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $62,500 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-07-04?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.8

Yes position

Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.69

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.62

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.29

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.28

Yes position

Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.72

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.6

Yes position

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.58

Yes position

Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on April 28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.3

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?

No 92% 40 shares
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on July 10?

Yes 95% 13.79 shares
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Yes 21% 30 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Yes 72% 29.99 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?

No 76% 30 shares
Will France win on 2026-07-04?

Yes 84% 30 shares
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?

Yes 13% 30 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?

No 83% 20 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?

No 83% 40 shares
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on June 26?

Yes 97.9% 20.43 shares
Will England win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 84% 16.67 shares
Will Panama vs. England end in a draw?

Yes 12% 16.67 shares