Yes position
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $6.33
- Potential payout
- $2.53K
- Potential profit
- $2.52K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$47.74
Polymarket Trader
ratrd
0x4165616ca787fc9633814af964ab814b5764da31
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $262.74
- Realized PnL
- $3.43K
- Win rate
- 87.5%
- Open positions
- 22
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$691.04
Yes position
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 50M and 75M views in its first 7 days?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $988.56
- Potential profit
- $988.56
- User PnL
- -$297.02
No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $943.81
- Potential profit
- $943.81
- User PnL
- -$700
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $909.09
- Potential profit
- $909.09
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $256.41
- Potential payout
- $900
- Potential profit
- $643.59
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- $174.37
Yes position
Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by 10–15%?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $810.69
- Potential profit
- $810.69
- User PnL
- -$650
Yes position
Will the United States win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $644.37
- Potential profit
- $644.37
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on February 23?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $582.16
- Potential profit
- $582.16
- User PnL
- -$192
Yes position
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $382.78
- Potential profit
- $382.78
- User PnL
- -$80
Yes position
Will Steve Bannon be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $327.64
- Potential profit
- $327.64
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -3°C or higher on February 24?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300.22
- Potential profit
- $300.22
- User PnL
- -$207.67
Yes position
Will Inter Milan advance to the round of 16?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $281.82
- Potential profit
- $281.82
- User PnL
- -$101
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on March 16?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $281.17
- Potential profit
- $281.17
- User PnL
- -$119.8
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 18?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $251.41
- Potential profit
- $251.41
- User PnL
- -$74.55
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on March 16?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $242.66
- Potential profit
- $242.66
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on February 24?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $239.32
- Potential profit
- $239.32
- User PnL
- -$120
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on March 25?
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $203.08
- Potential profit
- $203.08
- User PnL
- -$80.66
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 12, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $168.86
- Potential profit
- $168.86
- User PnL
- -$97.38
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on February 25?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $157.06
- Potential profit
- $157.06
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 29, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.3
- Potential profit
- $49.3
- User PnL
- -$35
Yes position
Will Ethereum be the top performing crypto for the week of March 16?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.94
- Potential profit
- $21.94
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $554.23
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 18, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $432.4
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 18, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $289.42
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $253.5
Yes position
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $220.35
Yes position
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $187.44
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 21, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $171.11
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on March 17?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $168.25
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 22, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $166.32
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 24, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $152.46
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 25, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $145.72
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C on February 24?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.08
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on March 17?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126.85
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.82
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 0°C on February 22?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.29
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on March 18?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.03
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on March 14?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.27
Yes position
Will Kristi Noem be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.46
No position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.74
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on March 14?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.77
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24
No position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$7.14
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C or higher on March 17?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14.14
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on March 25?Yes 39.7% 203.08 shares
- Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by 10–15%?Yes 85.9% 465.58 shares
- Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by 5–10%?Yes 9.1% 208.33 shares
- Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by 10–15%?Yes 72.4% 345.11 shares
- Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?Yes 99.1% 718.17 shares
- Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?Yes 73% 718.18 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on March 18?Yes 90.1% 105.4 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on March 18?Yes 51.9% 192.52 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 18?Yes 37.4% 119.14 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 18?Yes 22.7% 132.27 shares
- Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by 5–10%?Yes 24% 208.33 shares
- Will Ethereum be the top performing crypto for the week of March 16?Yes 45.6% 21.94 shares