Polymarket Trader

ibov300k

0x416aa6e9460e27d34dcbed6888472930ab2d5b4a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $470.68
Realized PnL: $915.3
Win rate: 73.3%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 15
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $190
Potential payout: $126.67K
Potential profit: $126.48K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$29.89

Yes position

Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $45.5
Potential payout: $2.6K
Potential profit: $2.55K
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: $0.23

Yes position

Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $32.4
Potential payout: $2.4K
Potential profit: $2.37K
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$25.19

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $49.5
Potential payout: $1.8K
Potential profit: $1.75K
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: $22.5

No position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $21
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $279
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: -$182.77

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.6%
Current value: $55.65
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $244.35
Multiplier: 5.39x
User PnL: $2.85

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.4%
Current value: $19.05
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $280.95
Multiplier: 15.75x
User PnL: $3.45

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $8.69
Potential payout: $220
Potential profit: $211.31
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: $0.99

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $23.5
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $176.5
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: $6.7

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.2%
Current value: $7.38
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $112.62
Multiplier: 16.26x
User PnL: -$3.3

Yes position

Will Trump say "Rare earth" or "Mineral" during events with Brazilian president?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $70
User PnL: -$44.8

No position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 92.7%
Current value: $9.27
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.73
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.14

No position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $8.75
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $1.26
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$0.14

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $483.32

Yes position

Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $160.88

Yes position

Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $150

Yes position

Maduro out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $110.07

Yes position

Will Neymar be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.53

Yes position

Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $41.26

Yes position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $30

Yes position

Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: $20.67

Yes position

Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 2.2%
Multiplier: 46.51x
User PnL: $15.13

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 11?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.93

No position

Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.92

Fonseca position

Rolex Paris Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Joao Fonseca

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$15.17

Yes position

Netanyahu out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 11?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$24.23

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 27?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$105

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.3% 16,666.67 shares
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.2% 50,000 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 17.6% 300 shares
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 2.4% 2,400 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.5% 1,800 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 91.2% 10 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.5% 220 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.9% 120 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.2% 300 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.4% 200 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 88.8% 10 shares
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 2.1% 1,909.99 shares