Polymarket Trader

Haelios

0x416b8dd22e63c7e73396ddff5aa46aef83e7bad6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.07K
Realized PnL: $4.29K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.22K
Potential profit: $6.22K
User PnL: -$211.2

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.02K
Potential profit: $4.02K
User PnL: -$205.13

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
User PnL: -$228

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $234
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $3.77K
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: $147.1

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 14.6%
Current value: $582
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $3.42K
Multiplier: 6.87x
User PnL: $136.6

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
User PnL: -$214.59

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 38.4%
Current value: $1.44K
Potential payout: $3.75K
Potential profit: $2.31K
Multiplier: 2.61x
User PnL: $867.24

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21.2%
Current value: $750.82
Potential payout: $3.55K
Potential profit: $2.8K
Multiplier: 4.73x
User PnL: $173.98

Yes position

Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$6.25

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $12.07
Potential payout: $928.09
Potential profit: $916.03
Multiplier: 76.92x
User PnL: -$0.19

Yes position

Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.9%
Current value: $50.63
Potential payout: $644.92
Potential profit: $594.29
Multiplier: 12.74x
User PnL: $4.97

Yes position

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $439.65
Potential profit: $439.65
User PnL: -$2.5

Under position

Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $124.99
Potential profit: $124.99
User PnL: -$4.75

Bilibili Gaming position

First Blood in Game 4?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$2.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $805.4

Yes position

Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $654.6

Yes position

Will Bilibili Gaming win First Stand 2026?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $543.43

Yes position

Will Grégory Doucet win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $443.65

No position

Will Jean-Michel Aulas win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $267.04

Yes position

Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $178.35

Yes position

Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $146.5

Yes position

Will Rose Byrne win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $137.22

Yes position

Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.89

Yes position

Will SZA release a new song in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $128.92

Yes position

Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $95.28

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $84.17

Yes position

Will Teyana Taylor (One Battle After Another) win Best Supporting Actress – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.4

Yes position

Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $72.62

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 10?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.36

Yes position

Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $57.95

Yes position

Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 2026 Critics Choice Awards?

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.28

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.99

Yes position

Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $50.68

Hanwha Life Esports position

First Blood in Game 3?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.93

Yes position

Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $45.03

Yes position

Will The Secret Agent win Best Foreign Language Film at the 2026 Critics Choice Awards?

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.5

Yes position

Will NFT #1946 win the Based trading competition?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $41.41

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Yes 8.1% 399.99 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 19.7% 150 shares
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Yes 6.9% 48 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 39.4% 250 shares
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Yes 5% 196.93 shares
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?

Under 99.9% 25 shares
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?

Under 66% 25 shares
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.3% 1,243.6 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.5% 2,000 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4.7% 250 shares
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.8% 2,108 shares
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.3% 2,500 shares