urabgnud

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.2
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $39.8
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$3.44

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 27?

Implied probability: 4.6%
Current value: $1.84
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $38.16
Multiplier: 21.74x
User PnL: -$1.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 108°F or higher on June 27?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $39.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.62

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 89°F or below on June 27?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $39.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.62

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on June 27?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $39.9
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$3.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on June 27?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $39.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.62

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on June 27?

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $39.5
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$3.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 27?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.24
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $39.76
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$3.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C or below on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $33.52
Potential profit: $33.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $33.52
Potential profit: $33.47
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $33.52
Potential profit: $33.47
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.18
Potential payout: $33.52
Potential profit: $33.33
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$2.86

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $33.52
Potential profit: $33.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C or higher on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $33.52
Potential profit: $33.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C or higher on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $32.25
Potential profit: $32.23
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.92

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.11
Potential payout: $32.25
Potential profit: $32.14
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$2.82

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $0.53
Potential payout: $32.25
Potential profit: $31.72
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$2.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $32.25
Potential profit: $32.2
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$2.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 7°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $32.25
Potential profit: $32.23
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.92

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 6°C or below on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $32.25
Potential profit: $32.23
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.92

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $32.25
Potential profit: $32.23
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.92

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $32.25
Potential profit: $32.23
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.92

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.11
Potential payout: $30.91
Potential profit: $30.8
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$2.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $30.91
Potential profit: $30.85
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$2.75

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $277.89

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 84°F or higher on April 1?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $254.17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C on April 1?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $244.38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on April 2?

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $235.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 8?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $219.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on April 2?

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $219.37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $211.84

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $193.48

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $190.44

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 3?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $183.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $183.07

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $173.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on April 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $173.27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 2?

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $172.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on April 9?

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $169.83

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $159.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on April 9?

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $158.19

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $154.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 67°F or below on April 5?

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $153.23

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on May 16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $151.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on April 6?