No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.95K
- Potential profit
- $15.95K
- User PnL
- -$583
Polymarket Trader
CesarWik
0x41785f4141f8967b7c84157460990e0f4286c0d2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $36.11
- Realized PnL
- $2.98K
- Win rate
- 80%
- Open positions
- 22
- Closed positions
- 20
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Vitória SC win on 2026-03-08?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.66K
- Potential profit
- $1.66K
- User PnL
- -$250
Yes position
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.33K
- Potential profit
- $1.33K
- User PnL
- -$770
Over position
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $704.23
- Potential profit
- $704.23
- User PnL
- -$500
Over position
CD Santa Clara vs. Vitória SC: O/U 2.5
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $631.87
- Potential profit
- $631.87
- User PnL
- -$425.6
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $36.11
- Potential payout
- $555.56
- Potential profit
- $519.44
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$63.89
Yes position
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $526.32
- Potential profit
- $526.32
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-03-04?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $416.63
- Potential profit
- $416.63
- User PnL
- -$188
Yes position
Kosovo vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400.09
- Potential profit
- $400.09
- User PnL
- -$216.05
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $375.38
- Potential profit
- $375.38
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-03-08?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $320.59
- Potential profit
- $320.59
- User PnL
- -$109
Yes position
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-03-07?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $283.33
- Potential profit
- $283.33
- User PnL
- -$85
Yes position
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to Score
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $192.31
- Potential profit
- $192.31
- User PnL
- -$100
Real Madrid CF position
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $185.11
- Potential profit
- $185.11
- User PnL
- -$87
Over position
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $178.57
- Potential profit
- $178.57
- User PnL
- -$100
Over position
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 210.5
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $158.73
- Potential profit
- $158.73
- User PnL
- -$100
Raphael Collignon position
Geneva Open: Raphael Collignon vs Casper Ruud
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $142.86
- User PnL
- -$10
Over position
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $132.09
- Potential profit
- $132.09
- User PnL
- -$70.01
Yes position
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $127.97
- Potential profit
- $127.97
- User PnL
- -$89.58
Yes position
AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to Score
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $67.35
- Potential profit
- $67.35
- User PnL
- -$23.57
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.12
- Potential profit
- $45.12
- User PnL
- -$21.66
Karen Khachanov position
Hamburg European Open: Ugo Humbert vs Karen Khachanov
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $44.44
- Potential profit
- $44.44
- User PnL
- -$16
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $556.16
Yes position
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-03-07?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $509.09
Yes position
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $505.76
Over position
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $341.84
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $332.62
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $273.77
Yes position
Olympique Lyonnais vs. Racing Club de Lens: Both Teams to Score
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $184.32
Yes position
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-03-03?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $128.71
Yes position
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.15
Alexander Bublik position
Geneva Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Alexander Bublik
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109.05
Alexander Bublik position
Geneva Open: Edas Butvilas vs Alexander Bublik
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.63
Yes position
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-26?
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.39
Yes position
Will Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.11
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.31
Yes position
AFC Bournemouth vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to Score
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.67
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$33
Yes position
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$58.01
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$300
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5Over 53% 132.09 shares
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5Over 56% 178.57 shares
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 210.5Over 63% 158.73 shares
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5Over 71% 704.23 shares
- Geneva Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Alexander BublikAlexander Bublik 99.9% 280 shares
- Geneva Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Alexander BublikAlexander Bublik 61% 280.33 shares
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5Over 49% 670.27 shares
- Geneva Open: Edas Butvilas vs Alexander BublikAlexander Bublik 99.9% 334.48 shares
- Geneva Open: Edas Butvilas vs Alexander BublikAlexander Bublik 74% 334.49 shares
- Hamburg European Open: Ugo Humbert vs Karen KhachanovKaren Khachanov 36% 44.44 shares
- Geneva Open: Raphael Collignon vs Casper RuudRaphael Collignon 7% 142.86 shares
- Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes 59% 275.97 shares