Y
Yes position
Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 41%
- Current value
- $20.5
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $29.5
- Multiplier
- 2.44x
- User PnL
- -$3
Polymarket Trader
0xdasha
0x417b120c8de784b2f77b64b76c9648bccff182f5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $212.94
- Realized PnL
- $398.58
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $125B by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 8%
- Current value
- $4
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $46
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- -$4
No position
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $27.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $22.25
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$4.25
Y
Yes position
Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $87.5B by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 42%
- Current value
- $21
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $29
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- -$18.5
Y
Yes position
Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $5.5B by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $19.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $30.25
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- -$4.25
Yes position
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $12.9
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $7.1
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- -$2.1
No position
Will Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $8.7
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $11.3
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$8.1
Yes position
Will Borjana Krišto be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $1.3
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $18.7
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$2.1
Y
Yes position
Will Republicans win 2 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $9.1
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $10.9
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$7.1
Yes position
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $4.5
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $15.5
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$1.1
Y
Yes position
Will the announcers say "Enthusiasm" during Brazil vs Japan?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$10.2
No position
Will Carlos Vila Nova win the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $3.8
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $16.2
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- -$6.8
Y
Yes position
Will another player win the Accuracy Challenge at the 2026 PLL All-Star Skills Competition?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $2.1
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $17.9
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$5.5
Yes position
Will Beth Jones win the 2026 Norfolk Police and Crime Commissioner by-election?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $2.1
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $17.9
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$2.9
Yes position
Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 AL Central title?
Ends Oct 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $9.7
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $10.3
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Y
Yes position
Will Nightblood Gaming Win North America ACE Stage 3
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $0.54
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.46
- Multiplier
- 37.04x
- User PnL
- -$1.28
Y
Yes position
Will 6–7 of these AIPAC endorsees lose their primaries?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $1.3
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $18.7
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$2.7
N
No position
Will M80 Win North America ACE Stage 3
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $12.1
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $7.9
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$1.9
Y
Yes position
Will Ally Kennedy win the Accuracy Challenge at the 2026 WLL All-Star Skills Competition?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $7.5
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.9
No position
Will Eastern Europe Win the Dota EWC 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $6.7
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $13.3
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$5.3
No position
Will Colin Sutton win the 2026 Norfolk Police and Crime Commissioner by-election?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $5.9
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $14.1
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- -$4.5
N
No position
Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,169,000 and $1,185,000 on September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $14.5
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $5.5
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- -$2.3
Y
Yes position
Will the median home value in Austin Metro be at least $486,000 on September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $1.3
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $18.7
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$2.9
N
No position
Will Izzy Scane win the Accuracy Challenge at the 2026 WLL All-Star Skills Competition?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $15.9
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $4.1
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Weibo Gaming position
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $190
Magic position
Heat vs. Magic
Ends Dec 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120
JD Gaming position
LoL: JD Gaming vs LOUD (BO5) - First Stand Group B
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.87
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.1
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $6
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.78
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.2
No position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.1
No position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $2.38
No position
Will Nermin Nikšić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 72%
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- $2.2
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Pump.fun disables livestreaming by Friday?
Ends Nov 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6
Yes position
Will another Pump.fun coin be first to $1b?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.8
No position
Will Ethereum reach $7,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.8
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes 47% 20 shares
- Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?No 82% 50 shares
- Will Elmedin Konaković be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?No 75% 20 shares
- Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Yes 67% 50 shares
- Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 AL East title?No 46.8% 20 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 58.8% 50 shares
- Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $135B by December 31?No 73% 12.98 shares
- Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?No 96% 34.87 shares
- Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?Yes 70% 50 shares
- Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?Yes 64% 14.55 shares
- Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,137,000 and $1,153,000 on September 30?Yes 11% 20 shares
- Will Trump say "Mandate" during Tribute to America Rally?Yes 51% 20 shares