Polymarket Trader

0x417E6054870BcFfe992f782aa0ADEFA541FA7302-1767628963050

0x417e6054870bcffe992f782aa0adefa541fa7302

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $49
Realized PnL: $35.89
Win rate: 70.8%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Record crypto liquidation in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 7.1%
Current value: $14.89
Potential payout: $210
Potential profit: $195.11
Multiplier: 14.10x
User PnL: -$22.21

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $3.31
Potential payout: $135.14
Potential profit: $131.82
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$6.69

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $85.71
Potential profit: $85.71
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $82.58
Potential profit: $82.58
User PnL: -$9.91

Yes position

US recession by end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $15.2
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $64.8
Multiplier: 5.26x
User PnL: -$4.8

Yes position

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.3%
Current value: $1.58
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $28.43
Multiplier: 19.05x
User PnL: -$4.13

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $4.48
Potential payout: $20.83
Potential profit: $16.35
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$5.52

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $9.55
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.46
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.47

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1.9

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.71

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.11

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 7?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.6

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.7

Yes position

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 5.9%
Multiplier: 16.95x
User PnL: $3.2

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.7

No position

Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.59

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 March 16-22?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7

No position

Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.44

No position

Netanyahu out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.8

No position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.77

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 21?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.29

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 20?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 99.7%
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 99.3%
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.97

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 3?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.14

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 5?

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.3

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.3%
Multiplier: 23.26x
User PnL: -$3.93

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 6?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.3

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?

Yes 12% 82.58 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?

Yes 7% 85.71 shares
US recession by end of 2026?

Yes 25% 80 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 48% 20.83 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 7.4% 135.14 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 7% 142.86 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

No 63% 10 shares
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?

No 82% 8 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

No 67% 20 shares
Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No 99% 10 shares
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No 98.8% 10.11 shares
Trump declassifies new UFO files by March 31?

No 92% 9.59 shares