Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $214.13
- Potential payout
- $266
- Potential profit
- $51.87
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$1.33
Polymarket Trader
yellowpan
0x418170b775a81994c84b1275a18b854bc18f9b5f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $307.14
- Realized PnL
- $221.23
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $93.01
- Potential payout
- $94
- Potential profit
- $0.99
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $5.59
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.41
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.08
No position
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.3
Yes position
Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.85
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.73
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.16
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.75
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.48
No position
Crude Oil all time high by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.3
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.83
No position
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.24
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.04
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.84
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.72
No position
BitBoy convicted?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.16
Yes position
No one announced as next James Bond?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.29
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.77
No position
DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.71
No position
Will Iran strike Jordan by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.47
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.99
No position
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.98
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 March 30-April 5?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.31
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.93
No position
Will Railbird self-certify sports event contracts by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 3.9% 215 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 93% 215 shares
- No one announced as next James Bond?Yes 99.6% 42 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 99.4% 67 shares
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?No 99.3% 173 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?No 93% 94 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in June?No 98.7% 87 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 81% 266 shares
- Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?No 99% 61.7 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?No 99.5% 159 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in June?No 89% 87 shares
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?No 86.4% 173.6 shares