Polymarket Trader

harmonicanalysis

0x4181e41df72d44fcc4c8dbb23a1def4063bfb224

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $5.69
Realized PnL: $106.43
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $5.69
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $22.08
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$4.31

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.56
Potential profit: $5.56
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.08
Potential profit: $3.08
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.94
Potential profit: $2.94
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.86

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.51

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.81

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.75

Yes position

Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.63

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.31

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.52

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.42

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.35

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.03

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.62

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.11

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.82

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.73

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.21

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.14

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.12

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.97

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.92

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.8

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?

No 36% 27.78 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET

Down 36% 5.56 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET

Up 99% 2.43 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET

Up 41% 2.44 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET

Down 65% 3.08 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET

Up 79% 2.53 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

Up 68% 2.94 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET

Down 78% 2.56 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

Down 91% 2.2 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

Down 99% 5.17 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

Down 58% 5.17 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

Up 49% 3.5 shares