Yes position
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $3.38
- Potential payout
- $250.17
- Potential profit
- $246.79
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$6.62
Polymarket Trader
0x418614B0D795855B5467674C88d271E5a0F5Ee77-1768935952178
0x418614b0d795855b5467674c88d271e5a0f5ee77
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $182.7
- Realized PnL
- $439.93
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Jurgen Klopp be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $135.14
- Potential profit
- $135.14
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 23.1%
- Current value
- $27.7
- Potential payout
- $120.19
- Potential profit
- $92.49
- Multiplier
- 4.34x
- User PnL
- $2.7
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.8%
- Current value
- $29.24
- Potential payout
- $89.29
- Potential profit
- $60.04
- Multiplier
- 3.05x
- User PnL
- $14.24
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.2%
- Current value
- $8.7
- Potential payout
- $85.71
- Potential profit
- $77.01
- Multiplier
- 9.85x
- User PnL
- -$6.3
Yes position
Will SpaceX raise between $90B and $100B in its IPO?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $77.77
- Potential profit
- $77.77
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.1%
- Current value
- $5.87
- Potential payout
- $72.93
- Potential profit
- $67.06
- Multiplier
- 12.42x
- User PnL
- -$8.93
Yes position
Will the South African Reserve Bank decrease the repo rate after the May meeting?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $63.28
- Potential profit
- $63.28
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $31.53
- Potential payout
- $56.82
- Potential profit
- $25.28
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- $6.53
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $11.26
- Potential payout
- $54.95
- Potential profit
- $43.68
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$3.74
Yes position
Will Jensen Huang be 3rd richest person on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.6%
- Current value
- $1.42
- Potential payout
- $54.76
- Potential profit
- $53.33
- Multiplier
- 38.46x
- User PnL
- -$8.58
Yes position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Current value
- $4
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $46
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 200 (High)?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.25
- Potential profit
- $49.25
- User PnL
- -$33
Yes position
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $47.62
- Potential profit
- $47.62
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 35%
- Current value
- $15.44
- Potential payout
- $44.12
- Potential profit
- $28.68
- Multiplier
- 2.86x
- User PnL
- $0.44
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $43.89
- Potential profit
- $43.89
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36.59
- Potential profit
- $36.59
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $17.72
- Potential payout
- $35.09
- Potential profit
- $17.37
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$2.28
Yes position
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $6.17
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $27.17
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$3.83
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $5.65
- Potential payout
- $32.26
- Potential profit
- $26.61
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$4.35
Yes position
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.01
- Potential profit
- $28.01
- User PnL
- -$9.8
Yes position
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 57%
- Current value
- $14.61
- Potential payout
- $25.64
- Potential profit
- $11.03
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- $4.61
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
AWS service disrupted by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.25
Yes position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42
Yes position
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.29
Yes position
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 24%
- Multiplier
- 4.17x
- User PnL
- $34.34
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.14
Yes position
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.46
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 11, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.16
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.73
Yes position
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.03
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.61
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14
Yes position
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-07?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.33
Yes position
Kristi Noem out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.67
Yes position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.76
Yes position
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.7
Yes position
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-04?
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.61
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.98
Yes position
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-01?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.58
Yes position
Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.39
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.18
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.06
Yes position
Claude 4.7 released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.92
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.86
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.89
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No 47% 21.28 shares
- Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?Yes 48% 2.08 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 44% 56.82 shares
- Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 200 (High)?Yes 20% 50 shares
- Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?Yes 21% 47.62 shares
- Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?Yes 39% 25.64 shares
- Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?Yes 4% 250.17 shares
- Will SpaceX raise between $90B and $100B in its IPO?Yes 12.9% 77.77 shares
- Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2027?Yes 57% 35.09 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 70% 14.29 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?Yes 22% 22.73 shares
- Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Yes 30% 33.33 shares