No position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64%
- Current value
- $34.56
- Potential payout
- $54
- Potential profit
- $19.44
- Multiplier
- 1.56x
- User PnL
- $7.56
Polymarket Trader
0x4189...cb29
0x41894436d5b66fd50b3bfca5c7f13c779e3ecb29
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $91.43
- Realized PnL
- -$23.05
- Win rate
- 46.2%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.8%
- Current value
- $23.15
- Potential payout
- $27
- Potential profit
- $3.85
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $4.62
Yes position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $1.79
- Potential payout
- $17
- Potential profit
- $15.22
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$1.86
No position
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $10.08
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $1.92
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $9.85
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $1.15
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $1.27
No position
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $9.79
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.21
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.49
Yes position
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $1.16
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $5.85
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $0.7
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.3
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.85
Yes position
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Oct 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.3%
- Current value
- $0.36
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.64
- Multiplier
- 13.79x
- User PnL
- -$0.54
No position
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $3
- User PnL
- -$1.26
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.82
No position
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $4.1
No position
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.54
No position
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $0.42
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Yes position
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.88
Yes position
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$1.44
Yes position
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$3.94
No position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.8
Yes position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 36%
- Multiplier
- 2.78x
- User PnL
- -$8.86
No position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.3%
- Multiplier
- 7.02x
- User PnL
- -$13.22
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?Yes 16% 7 shares
- Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?No 95.2% 12 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes 97.4% 8 shares
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Yes 79% 5 shares
- Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 31% 5 shares
- Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?No 81% 12 shares
- Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 19% 6 shares
- Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?No 92.8% 6 shares
- Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 59% 14 shares
- Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 41% 23 shares
- Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?No 80% 6 shares
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?No 78% 11 shares